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Chile. Serie A
Chile. Serie A
15 round 12.06.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 22:00 UTC 15 round
Finished

Chile. Serie A

Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena

Football
Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano
1 : 1
Finished
D
Deportes La Serena

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena June 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Audax Italiano.

Line favourite market consensus: Audax Italiano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.52 / 2 3.56
  • 1X2 market: Audax Italiano 47.6% / X 26.4% / Deportes La Serena 26.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.8%
1 47.6%
X 26.4%
2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Audax Italiano
#1316 ptsGP 154-4-718:21
DDWLD
Deportes La Serena
#1218 ptsGP 154-6-521:25
DLWLD
Best price across 13 books
1 2.03 Dafabet
X 3.75 Unibet
2 4.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Audax Italiano
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.21 xGA 1.37 Corners 3.8
1 -5.15 X -1.95 2 +1.09 1 (DNB) -4.19
Deportes La Serena
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.91 xG 1.18 xGA 1.32 Corners 4.7
1 +0.05 X -0.04 2 -4.38 1 (DNB) +0.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Audax Italiano
Rating 1495 xG 1.49 Win 44%
Deportes La Serena
Rating 1511 xG 1.20 Win 30%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Audaks Italyano - Deportes La-Serena, 13 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Chile po futbolu (Primera) 2026, 15 round. Audaks Italyano - Deportes La-Serena, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 6.70 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.52 28.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
3.60 27.8% 3.58 27.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.30 76.9%
yes 3.15 31.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 6.70 14.9%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.53 65.4%
1.11 90.1%
8.00 12.5%
9.50 10.5%
11.00 9.1%
1.60 62.5%
2.40 41.7%
5.30 18.9%
1.04 96.2%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.30 43.5%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Audax Italiano
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Deportes La Serena
Audax Italiano Team comparison Deportes La Serena
14 Games 14
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
17 Scored 20
20 Conceded 24
15 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
3.57 Shots on target 4.43
30 round Goly Gonsalo Eskalante Kheysson Vargas 0:1 73' Diego Coelho Giovani Chiaverano 1 82' Nakazaniya Felipe Chamorro 33' Bruno Gutierrez 53' Entso Ferrario 80' Diego Coelho 89'

Audaks Italyano Deportes La-Serena 14 Games 14 4 Wins 4 3 Draws 5 7 Losses 5 17 Scored 20 Conceded 24 15 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.57 Udary v stvor 4.43 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.86 Uglovye 4.21 2 Offsaydy 2 8.86 Foly 11.14 51.5 % vladeniya myachom 47.79 2.14 Warnings 2.64 0.29 Sendoffs 0.21 Sleduyuschiy match 06.12.2026 Chile — Primera Deportes La-Serena –:– Audaks Italyano 30 round Goly Gonsalo Eskalante Kheysson Vargas 0:1 73' Diego Coelho Giovani Chiaverano 1 82' Nakazaniya Felipe Chamorro 33' Bruno Gutierrez 53' Entso Ferrario 80' Diego Coelho 89'