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Chile. Serie A
Chile. Serie A
01.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Not started

Chile. Serie A

Universidad de Chile - Huachipato

Football
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Chile
- : -
Not started
Huachipato
Huachipato

Universidad de Chile take on Huachipato on August 1, 2026 in the Chile. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Universidad de Chile 0-1-1, Huachipato 0-2-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Universidad de Chile54%

1 · Universidad de Chile53.9%
X · draw19.1%
2 · Huachipato27.0%

Model estimate: win Universidad de Chile 53.9%, draw 19.1%, win Huachipato 27.0%. Model favourite — Universidad de Chile.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Universidad de Chile (odds2.28) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Universidad de Chile: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
  • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universidad de Chile - Huachipato August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Universidad de Chile. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.86 / 2 5.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 58.0%
X 24.5%
2 17.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Universidad de Chile
#327 ptsGP 167-6-319:11
Huachipato
#624 ptsGP 167-3-626:25
Best price across 13 books
1 1.65 Betano
X 4.02 Pinnacle
2 5.40 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Universidad de Chile
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.61 xG 1.44 xGA 1.04 Corners 6.4
Huachipato
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.24 xGA 1.34 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Universidad de Chile
Rating 1612 xG 1.58 Win 54%
Huachipato
Rating 1531 xG 0.85 Win 20%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 58.0% @ 1.63 / X 24.5% @ 3.86 / 2 17.5% @ 5.40
Match center

Universidad de Chile - Huachipato

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Universidad de Chile - 53.9% model pick
Draw - 19.1% draw risk
Huachipato - 27.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.9% / 19.1% / 27.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,368 / 1,332 Union La Calera (w) / Huachipato
RD 199 / 171 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 970-1,765 / 991-1,674 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.30 market consensus · no value · model 27.0%
X 3.79 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.60 market consensus · no value · model 53.9%
Double chance
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 80.9%
1X 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 73.0%
X2 2.20 market consensus · no value · model 46.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.15 46.5%
X 2.33 42.9%
5.40 18.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.70 58.8%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%
Match center
Universidad de Chile
L D
26.07 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings
Universidad de Chile 1:4 Audaks ItalyanoAudaks Italyano
14.06 17:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings
Universidad de Chile 2:2 Union La KaleraUnion La Kalera
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Huachipato
D D L
25.07 19:30 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings
Huachipato 3:3 Kobresal
13.06 22:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings
Huachipato 2:2 NublenseNublense
31.05 17:00 UTC Chile: Liga de Primera Standings
Huachipato 0:3 Universidad Katolika Santyago
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.7 Conceded
2 Points