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Paraguay. Division 3
Paraguay. Division 3
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Paraguay. Division 3

Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w)

Football
D
Deportes Temuco (w)
- : -
Finished
D
Deportes Recoleta (w)

Deportes Temuco (w) go head-to-head with Deportes Recoleta (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Paraguay. Division 3.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Temuco (w) 1-1-3, Deportes Recoleta (w) 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportes Temuco (w)45%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportes Temuco (w)): model 41% · market 45% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportes Temuco (w)44.6%
X · draw23.7%
2 · Deportes Recoleta (w)31.7%

Model estimate: win Deportes Temuco (w) 44.6%, draw 23.7%, win Deportes Recoleta (w) 31.7%. Model favourite — Deportes Temuco (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportes Temuco (w) (odds2.02) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Deportes Temuko (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w) August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportes Temuco (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.80 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 44.8%
X 23.9%
2 31.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 44.8% @ 2.03 / X 23.9% @ 3.80 / 2 31.3% @ 2.90
Match center

Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportes Temuco (w) 44.9% 44.6% market and model agree
Draw 23.8% 23.7% draw risk
Deportes Recoleta (w) 31.3% 31.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.6% / 23.7% / 31.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,220 / 1,293 Deportes Temuco (w) / Deportes Recoleta (w)
RD 173 / 197 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 874-1,565 / 900-1,687 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · no value · model 31.7%
X 3.80 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 44.6%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 76.3%
1X 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 68.3%
X2 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 55.4%
Handicap
2 0 2.24 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.28 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.70 58.8%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%
2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
Under 2.5 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
2.87 34.8% 2.90 34.5%
Match center
Deportes Temuco (w)
D L L L W
29.07 14:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Temuco (w) 1:1 Universidad Katolika Santyago (Zh)
24.07 13:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Temuco (w) 2:3 Magalyanes (Zh)
11.07 13:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Temuco (w) 2:3 Uachipato (Zh)
08.07 13:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Temuco (w) 0:1 Universidad de Konsepson (Zh)
03.07 14:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Temuco (w) 3:2 Palestino (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Deportes Recoleta (w)
L W L W L
11.07 19:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Recoleta (w) 1:6 Universidad de Chile (Zh)
08.07 13:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Recoleta (w) 2:1 Palestino (Zh)
04.07 14:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Recoleta (w) 0:4 Deportes Ikike (Zh)
26.06 17:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Recoleta (w) 2:1 Santyago Vanderers (Zh)
12.06 17:00 UTC Chile: Primera Division Women Standings
Deportes Recoleta (w) 0:3 Kokyuimbo (Zh)
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
6 Points