Paraguay. Division 3
Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w)
Deportes Temuco (w) go head-to-head with Deportes Recoleta (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Paraguay. Division 3.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Temuco (w) 1-1-3, Deportes Recoleta (w) 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Deportes Temuco (w) — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportes Temuco (w)): model 41% · market 45% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Deportes Temuco (w) 44.6%, draw 23.7%, win Deportes Recoleta (w) 31.7%. Model favourite — Deportes Temuco (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Deportes Temuko (Zh): probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.80 / 2 2.90
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| x2 | 1.59 62.9% | 1.70 58.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 64.5% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 2.87 34.8% | 2.90 34.5% |
Full head-to-head historyDeportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w)
Match history
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The Deportes Temuco (w) - Deportes Recoleta (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form