Match center
Start
05.07.2026 09:30 UTC
05.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished
China. League 1
Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai
1
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Changchun Yatai. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / X 4.30 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 30.0%
1
5.9%
X
17.9%
2
76.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Meizhou Hakka
- Wuhua County Stadium (Meychzhou)
- Founded in 2013
Changchun Yatai
- Changchun City Stadium (Chanchun) · 38 000 seats
- Founded in 1996
- Coach: Li Shubin
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
Referee · coaches · venue
Match information
Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)
Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Meizhou Hakka
Well rested- Rest days: 8
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Changchun Yatai
Well rested- Rest days: 8
- Matches in 7 days: 0 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Match center
Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
4.30
Fonbet · line only
1
2.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.18
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.48
market consensus · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0
1.03
Fonbet · line only
1 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.10
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
5.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.40 29.4% | 2.47 40.5% |
| yes | 1.25 80.0% | 1.48 67.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 12.00 8.3% |
| x2 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.24 30.9% | |
| X | 2.16 46.3% |
| 2.97 33.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
Match center
Meizhou Hakka
D
Meizhou Hakka
1:1
Usi Ugou
Usi Ugou
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
1
Points
Changchun Yatai
W
Changchun Yatai
2:1
Dalian K'un City
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMeizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai
Meizhou Hakka
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals