China. League 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Hubei Istar — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Hubei Istar): model 41% · market 39% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Hubei Istar 38.8%, draw 29.9%, win Jiangxi Lushan 31.3%. Model favourite — Hubei Istar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.52 65.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 1.96 51.0% |
| 3.61 27.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.67 59.9% |
Hubei Istar
Jiangxi Lushan
Guangdong Mingtu
Full head-to-head historyHubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan
The Hubei Istar - Jiangxi Lushan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
