China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan - Tayan Tyankuan
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Tayan Tyankuan — 35%
Pure model vs market (2 · Tayan Tyankuan): model 36% · market 35% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Lanzhou Longyuan 33.0%, draw 32.3%, win Tayan Tyankuan 34.7%. Model favourite — Tayan Tyankuan.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Tayan Tyankuan: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.61)
- • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1
- • Total: Under 1.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
- • at line 1.5 (odds 2.10)
- • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.78).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lanzhou Longyuan - Tayan Tyankuan July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tayan Tyankuan.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / X 2.80 / 2 2.65
- Glicko: Lanzhou Longyuan 33.0% / X 32.3% / Tayan Tyankuan 34.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Lanzhou Longyuan - Tayan Tyankuan
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.43 69.9% | 1.58 63.3% |
| yes | 2.60 38.5% | 2.23 44.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.40 71.4% |
| 1x | 1.43 69.9% |
| x2 | 1.40 71.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.89 25.7% | |
| X | 1.79 55.9% |
| 3.39 29.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.16 46.3% |
Shanghai Second
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Tayan Tyankuan
Tsindao Red Layons
Changchun Xidu
Shanghai Second
Full head-to-head historyLanzhou Longyuan - Tayan Tyankuan
Match history
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- Match history & form