China. League 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Shandong Taishan 2 — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Shandong Taishan 2): model 42% · market 39% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Shandong Taishan 2 38.6%, draw 30.6%, win Dalian Kewei 30.8%. Model favourite — Shandong Taishan 2.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.16 46.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.09 32.4% | |
| X | 1.84 54.4% |
| 4.12 24.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.28 43.9% |
Changchun Xidu
Shanghai Second
Dalian Kewei
Pekin Teknolodzhi
Shanghai Second
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Full head-to-head historyShandong Taishan 2 - Dalian Kewei
The Shandong Taishan 2 - Dalian Kewei breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
