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China. League 2
China. League 2
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

China. League 2

Shandong Taishan 2 - Lanzhou Longyuan

Football
S
Shandong Taishan 2
3 : 1
Finished
L
Lanzhou Longyuan
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Shandong Taishan 2 — 53%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shandong Taishan 2 - Lanzhou Longyuan July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shandong Taishan 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 15.00 / 2 4.31

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 28.9%
1 76.8%
X 5.2%
2 18.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Shandong Taishan 2 - Lanzhou Longyuan

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.31 market consensus · line only
X 2.73 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 6.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.18 84.8% 1.57 63.7%
yes 4.10 24.4% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 11.50 8.7%
x2 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.84 35.2%
X 1.74 57.5%
5.50 18.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.66 60.2%
Under 0.5 2.09 47.9%
Match center
Shandong Taishan 2
D
13.06 09:00 UTC China: League Two Standings
Shandong Taishan 2 0:0 Nantun Khaymen
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Lanzhou Longyuan
D
13.06 09:30 UTC China: League Two Standings
Lanzhou Longyuan 0:0 Shanxi Chongde RonghaiShanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points