China. League 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Shanghai Second — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Shanghai Second): model 43% · market 38% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Shanghai Second 52.1%, draw 21.6%, win Changchun Xidu 26.3%. Model favourite — Shanghai Second.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.99 50.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.09 32.4% | |
| X | 1.89 52.9% |
| 3.87 25.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
Shanghai Second
Dalian Kewei
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Tayan Tyankuan
Changchun Xidu
Tayan Tyankuan
Dalian Kewei
Tsindao Red Layons
Full head-to-head historyShanghai Second - Changchun Xidu
The Shanghai Second - Changchun Xidu breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
