China. League 2
Shanghai Second take on Changchun Xidu on August 2, 2026 in the China. League 2.
Recent form (W-D-L): Shanghai Second 0-3-2, Changchun Xidu 1-2-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Shanghai Second — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Shanghai Second): model 43% · market 45% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Shanghai Second 38.7%, draw 30.6%, win Changchun Xidu 30.8%. Model favourite — Shanghai Second.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.63 61.4% |
| yes | 2.14 46.7% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.60 62.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.80 35.7% | |
| X | 1.84 54.4% |
| 4.76 21.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 1 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.57 63.7% |
Shanghai Second
Dalian Kewei
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Tayan Tyankuan
Changchun Xidu
Tayan Tyankuan
Dalian Kewei
Tsindao Red Layons
Full head-to-head historyShanghai Second - Changchun Xidu
The Shanghai Second - Changchun Xidu breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
