China. League 2
Ukhan Fri Tauns (B) - Xiamen Feilu
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Xiamen Feilu — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · Xiamen Feilu): model 30% · market 40% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ukhan Fri Tauns (B) 28.2%, draw 33.1%, win Xiamen Feilu 38.7%. Model favourite — Xiamen Feilu.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.76)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ukhan Fri Tauns (B) - Xiamen Feilu July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.40 / X 2.84 / 2 2.36
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Ukhan Fri Tauns (B) - Xiamen Feilu
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
| 1x | 1.45 69.0% | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.32 23.2% | |
| X | 1.81 55.3% |
| 3.07 32.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.22 45.1% |
Form & head-to-head
Khubey Istar
Xiamen Feilu
Full head-to-head historyUkhan Fri Tauns (B) - Xiamen Feilu
Match history
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The Ukhan Fri Tauns (B) - Xiamen Feilu breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form