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China. Superleague
China. Superleague
30.07.2026 09:35 UTC
30.07.2026 09:35 UTC
Not started

China. Superleague

Khenan Sunshan Lunmen - Dalian Yingbo

Football
K
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen
- : -
Not started
D
Dalian Yingbo
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Khenan Sunshan Lunmen — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Khenan Sunshan Lunmen): model 46% · market 51% Δ −5 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Khenan Sunshan Lunmen51.2%
X · draw24.1%
2 · Dalian Yingbo24.7%

Model estimate: win Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 51.2%, draw 24.1%, win Dalian Yingbo 24.7%. Model favourite — Khenan Sunshan Lunmen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Khenan Sunshan Lunmen (odds1.82) Score 2:1 (odds7.78) confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Khenan Sunshan Lunmen: probability 51% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1 (odds 7.78).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khenan Sunshan Lunmen - Dalian Yingbo July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Khenan Sunshan Lunmen.

Line favourite market consensus: Khenan Sunshan Lunmen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.77 / 2 3.79
  • 1X2 market: Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 50.9% / X 24.6% / Dalian Yingbo 24.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 50.9%
X 24.6%
2 24.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 09:35 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 51%
💹 Market Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 5091%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Khenan Sunshan Lunmen - Dalian Yingbo

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 51.5% 51.2% market and model agree
Draw 24.3% 24.1% draw risk
Dalian Yingbo 24.2% 24.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.2% / 24.1% / 24.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,545 / 1,517 Khenan Sunshan Lunmen / Dalian Yingbo
RD 210 / 181 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,125-1,965 / 1,155-1,880 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.79 market consensus · no value · model 24.7%
X 3.78 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.82 market consensus · no value · model 51.2%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.3%
X2 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 48.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.30 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.93 25.5% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
3.65 27.4% 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
x2 1.94 51.6% 1.92 52.1%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 10.00 10.0%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_2 19.00 5.3%
0_3 41.00 2.4%
0_4 91.00 1.1%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_2 10.00 10.0%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 10.00 10.0%
2_3 21.00 4.8%
2_4 56.00 1.8%
3_0 15.00 6.7%
3_1 10.00 10.0%
3_2 15.00 6.7%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.30 43.5% —
— 1.37 73.0%
1.57 63.7% —
— 2.90 34.5%
Match center
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen
W W L
26.07 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 2:1 Shandun TayshanShandun Tayshan
17.07 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 5:1 Tsindao KhayniuTsindao Khayniu
03.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Khenan Sunshan Lunmen 1:2 Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Dalian Yingbo
L W W L
26.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Dalian Yingbo 2:3 Chzhetszyan ProfeshionalChzhetszyan Profeshional
18.07 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Dalian Yingbo 3:1 Shandun TayshanShandun Tayshan
04.07 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Dalian Yingbo 3:2 Ukhan Fri TaunsUkhan Fri Tauns
31.05 09:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Dalian Yingbo 0:1 Tyantszin Tayger
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points