Match center
Start
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished
China. Cup. Round of 16
Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tonglianglong
L
Liaoning Tieren
3
:
1
Finished
C
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tonglianglong July 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liaoning Tieren.
Line favourite market consensus: Liaoning Tieren. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.06 / X 3.28 / 2 3.48
- 1X2 market: Liaoning Tieren 45.1% / X 28.3% / Chongqing Tonglianglong 26.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.8%
1
45.0%
X
28.3%
2
26.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Form and head-to-head • Super League
Team stats
Liaoning Tieren
LLLLLDWWWL
W 3 • D 1 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 1.9
10 place, 17 pts
Chongqing Tonglianglong
DLDDLDWLWW
W 3 • D 4 • L 3 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 1.1
2 place, 27 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Liaoning Tieren 2, draws 0, Chongqing Tonglianglong 3 (goals 7:6)
- Chongqing Tongliangloong — Liaoning Tieren2026-03-14 1:0
- Liaoning Tieren — Chongqing Tongliangloong2025-07-19 4:2
- Chongqing Tongliangloong — Liaoning Tieren2025-03-29 2:1
- Liaoning Tieren — Chongqing Tongliangloong2024-07-07 2:0
- Chongqing Tongliangloong — Liaoning Tieren2024-03-09 1:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Liaoning Tieren
- China
- Founded in 2015
Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Чунцин
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
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Match center
Liaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tonglianglong
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.49
market consensus · line only
X
9.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.03
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.04
Fonbet · line only
X2
8.50
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
4.90
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.40
Fonbet · line only
2 0
6.90
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.90
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.20
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.38 29.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 3.90 25.6% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.20 83.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.72 58.1% | 8.50 11.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.71 36.9% | |
| X | 2.15 46.5% |
| 4.06 24.6% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLiaoning Tieren - Chongqing Tonglianglong
Liaoning Tieren
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals