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China. Superleague
China. Superleague
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Not started

China. Superleague

Sichuan Jiuniu - Chongqing Tongliang Long

Football
S
Sichuan Jiuniu
- : -
Not started
C
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sichuan Jiuniu — 50%

1 · Sichuan Jiuniu50.5%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Chongqing Tongliang Long29.8%

Model estimate: win Sichuan Jiuniu 50.5%, draw 19.7%, win Chongqing Tongliang Long 29.8%. Model favourite — Sichuan Jiuniu.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sichuan Jiuniu (odds2.14) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.14)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sichuan Jiuniu - Chongqing Tongliang Long August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sichuan Jiuniu. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.37 / 2 3.37

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 44.1%
X 28.0%
2 28.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Super League
League table
Sichuan Jiuniu
#1520 ptsGP 206-2-1228:37
ARRAY
Chongqing Tongliang Long
#429 ptsGP 207-8-523:22
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 2.20 Dafabet
X 3.50 Betfair
2 3.40 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sichuan Jiuniu
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.91 xG 1.28 xGA 1.70 Corners 5.9
Chongqing Tongliang Long
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.10 xGA 1.65 Corners 3.2

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sichuan Jiuniu
Rating 1495 xG 1.41 Win 41%
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Rating 1592 xG 1.25 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 12:00 UTC
Market 1 44.1% @ 2.14 / X 28.0% @ 3.37 / 2 28.0% @ 3.37
Match center

Sichuan Jiuniu - Chongqing Tongliang Long

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sichuan Jiuniu 44.1% 50.5% market and model agree
Draw 28.0% 19.7% draw risk
Chongqing Tongliang Long 28.0% 29.8%
xG - 1.41 : 1.25

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.5% / 19.7% / 29.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,409 / 1,441 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng / Chongqing Tonglianglong
RD 181 / 180 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,048-1,771 / 1,081-1,801 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.37 market consensus · no value · model 29.8%
X 3.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.14 market consensus · value +8.1% · model 50.5%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.72 58.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.71 36.9%
X 2.23 44.8%
3.81 26.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.96 51.0%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
2.09 47.9%
1.69 59.2%
Match center
Sichuan Jiuniu
L L W L
26.07 09:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Sichuan Jiuniu 3:4 Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
18.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Sichuan Jiuniu 0:2 Ukhan Fri TaunsUkhan Fri Tauns
11.07 09:35 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Sichuan Jiuniu 3:0 Qingdao West Coast
04.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Sichuan Jiuniu 0:3 Tyantszin Tayger
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.3 Conceded
3 Points
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L D D L
25.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Chongqing Tongliang Long 0:1 Ukhan Fri TaunsUkhan Fri Tauns
18.07 09:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:1 Chzhetszyan ProfeshionalChzhetszyan Profeshional
11.07 10:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:1 Chendu
04.07 09:00 UTC China: Superliga Standings
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1:3 Liaoning Tieren
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.5 Conceded
2 Points