Who is the favourite in Valencia vs Teruel?

By the PropickAI model, Valencia is favoured — about 71% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Valencia vs Teruel?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Valencia. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

AI verdict

AI pick Valencia win probability ~71% confidence High best odds 1.28

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Valencia. Full breakdown below.

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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

12.08.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction

12.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Valencia - Teruel

Football

Valencia

0 : 1

Finished

Teruel

Valencia face Teruel on August 12, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Valencia 3-0-2, Teruel 1-2-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 71% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Valencia — 71%

1 · Valencia ✓ Pick71.5%

market 73%

X · draw17.4%

market 17%

2 · Teruel11.1%

market 10%

Model estimate: win Valencia 71.5%, draw 17.4%, win Teruel 11.1%. Model favourite — Valencia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Valencia (odds1.25) Score 2:0 confidence 66% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Valensiya 🇪🇸: probability 66% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
• no edge over the line (-13 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Teruel August 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / X 4.10 / 2 1.25
Glicko: Valencia 71.5% / X 17.4% / Teruel 11.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 4 books · best price +2026.0%

1 ✓ Pick 73.4%

X 17.1%

2 9.5%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Valencia

W-D-L 2-2-2 Scored 1.02 Conceded 1.28 xG 1.17 xGA 1.34

Teruel

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.67 Conceded 1.34 xG 1.32 xGA 1.23 Corners 2.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Valencia

Rating 1539

Teruel

Rating 1377

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Valencia

74%

27.00

Draw

17%

5.50

Teruel

11.70

Total

Over 2.5

57%

10.00

Under 2.5

43%

2.33

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Valencia 2 : 1 Teruel

13.17

X3.78

21.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions

4 predictions Choose an outcome

1 75% 3

X 25% 1

2 0% 0

Match center

Start 12.08.2026 16:00 UTC

Market 1 42.8% @ 1.28 / X 13.4% @ 4.10 / 2 43.8% @ 1.25

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Valencia 75%

📐 Math model Valencia 71%

💹 Market Valencia 73%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Valencia - Teruel

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.197

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.197

Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.197

Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 71.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.331 / LogLoss 2.197

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Valencia 73.4% 71.5% market and model agree

Draw 17.1% 17.4% draw risk

Teruel 9.5% 11.1%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 71.5% / 17.4% / 11.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,538 / 1,600 Valencia / Teruel

RD 200 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,138-1,937 / 1,017-2,182 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 11.1%

X 4.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 71.5%

Double chance

12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 82.6%

1X 3.60 Fonbet · weak value +220.0% · model 88.9%

X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%

Handicap

2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 4.20 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	1.67 59.9%
yes	3.40 29.4%	2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.20 83.3%
1x	1.01 99.0%	1.03 97.1%	3.60 27.8%
x2	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.56 64.1%
X	2.71 36.9%
	10.90 9.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.20 45.5%
Under 1.5	1.60 62.5%

Match center

10 Matches 10

26 Goals 4

2.6 Per match 0.4

5 Wins 1

2 Draws 4

3 Losses 5

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 1.0 gls

2026-08-12 · Valensiya 0:1 Teruel

Source: ruscore

Valencia

L D W L W

2026-08-08 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Valencia 1:2 Newcastle

2026-08-01 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Stoke City 1:1 Valencia

2026-07-28 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Derby County 1:2 Valencia

2026-07-25 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Valencia 1:2 Castellon

2026-07-22 Club Friendly Games 2026

Valencia Valencia 3:0 Eldence

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Teruel

L L D L D

2026-07-30 Club Friendly Games 2026

Petro Luanda 2:0 Teruel Teruel

2026-05-22 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 2

Marbella 3:1 Teruel Teruel

2026-05-16 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 2

Teruel 0:0 Atletico Sanluqueno CF Teruel

2026-05-10 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 2

Antequera 1:0 Teruel Teruel

2026-05-03 Primera Federacion 25/26, Group 2

Teruel 0:0 Tarazona Teruel

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Teruel

Valencia

0 matches total

Teruel

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Valencia - Teruel

AI match prediction Valencia - Teruel August 12, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Valencia - Teruel

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Match history

Frequently asked questions

Valencia - Teruel

AI match prediction Valencia - Teruel August 12, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Forecast by market

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Valencia - Teruel

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Match history

More predictions

Frequently asked questions