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Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
02.08.2026 23:15 UTC
02.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie A

Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin

Football
D
Deportes Tolima
- : -
Not started
I
Independiente Medellin

Deportes Tolima face Independiente Medellin on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Deportes Tolima 2-0-0, Independiente Medellin 2-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Independiente Medellin — 47%

1 · Deportes Tolima33.2%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Independiente Medellin47.1%

Model estimate: win Deportes Tolima 33.2%, draw 19.7%, win Independiente Medellin 47.1%. Model favourite — Independiente Medellin.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Independiente Medellin (odds2.39) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Medelin: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.39)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 23:15 UTC
Match center

Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportes Tolima - 33.2%
Draw - 19.7% draw risk
Independiente Medellin - 47.1% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.2% / 19.7% / 47.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,603 / 1,713 Deportes Tolima / Independiente Medellin
RD 201 / 231 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,200-2,005 / 1,251-2,175 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Deportes Tolima
W W
01.08 21:05 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Deportes Tolima 2:1 Petrolera
25.07 23:15 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Deportes Tolima 2:1 Khunior
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Independiente Medellin
W W
01.08 23:10 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Independiente Medellin 1:0 Deportivo KaliDeportivo Kali
25.07 19:05 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Independiente Medellin 3:2 Deportivo Pasto
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points