Colombia. Serie A
Ind. Yumbo - Envigado
Ind. Yumbo go head-to-head with Envigado on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ind. Yumbo 1-0-0, Envigado 1-0-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ind. Yumbo — 35%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ind. Yumbo): model 43% · market 35% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Ind. Yumbo 35.4%, draw 34.2%, win Envigado 30.4%. Model favourite — Ind. Yumbo.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Ind
- • Yumbo — Envigado (football)
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 33% on the line (odds 3.00)
- • edge over the line +17 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ind. Yumbo - Envigado August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.68 / X 2.85 / 2 3.03
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Ind. Yumbo - Envigado
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
| 1x | 1.29 77.5% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.30 30.3% | |
| X | 1.88 53.2% |
| 3.77 26.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.54 64.9% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.21 45.3% |
Envigado
Full head-to-head historyInd. Yumbo - Envigado
Match history
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The Ind. Yumbo - Envigado breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form