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Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
02.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Match in progress

Colombia. Serie A

Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC

Football
I
Internacional Palmira
- : -
Match in progress
Bogota FC
Bogota FC

Internacional Palmira meet Bogota FC on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Internacional Palmira 0-0-1, Bogota FC 1-0-0. The market favourite is Internacional Palmira at roughly 55%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Internacional Palmira53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Internacional Palmira): model 26% · market 55% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Internacional Palmira53.3%
X · draw26.4%
2 · Bogota FC20.3%

Model estimate: win Internacional Palmira 53.3%, draw 26.4%, win Bogota FC 20.3%. Model favourite — Internacional Palmira.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Bogota FC (odds2.00) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Bogota: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • no edge over the line (+0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Internacional Palmira.

Line favourite market consensus: Internacional Palmira. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.40 / 2 5.11
  • 1X2 market: Internacional Palmira 55.4% / X 26.8% / Bogota FC 17.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 55.3%
X 26.8%
2 17.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Internacional Palmira
#245 ptsGP 2213-6-333:19
Bogota FC
#629 ptsGP 227-8-720:22
Best price across 14 books
1 1.70 Bet365
X 3.65 Unibet
2 5.80 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Internacional Palmira
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.26 xGA 1.09
Bogota FC
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.15 xGA 1.28

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Internacional Palmira
Rating 1604 xG 1.34 Win 48%
Bogota FC
Rating 1474 xG 0.86 Win 24%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 55.3% @ 1.65 / X 26.8% @ 3.40 / 2 17.9% @ 5.11
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Internacional Palmira 53%
💹 Market Internacional Palmira 5537%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Internacional Palmira 55.1% 53.3% market and model agree
Draw 26.8% 26.4% draw risk
Bogota FC 18.1% 20.3%
xG - 1.34 : 0.86

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.3% / 26.4% / 20.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,190 / 1,626 Kortulua / International de Bogota
RD 219 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 751-1,629 / 1,044-2,209 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · no value · model 20.3%
X 3.41 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 53.3%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
5.00 20.0% 5.33 18.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1% 5.25 19.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.15 46.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.00 14.3%
0_1 9.50 10.5%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 61.00 1.6%
1_0 4.75 21.1%
1_1 5.75 17.4%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 41.00 2.4%
1_4 126.00 0.8%
2_0 6.25 16.0%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 15.00 6.7%
2_3 46.00 2.2%
3_0 11.00 9.1%
3_1 12.00 8.3%
3_2 26.00 3.9%
3_3 67.00 1.5%
4_0 26.00 3.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.31 43.3%
X 2.03 49.3%
5.80 17.2%
Match center
Internacional Palmira
L
26.07 19:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Internacional Palmira 1:3 Patriotas
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Bogota FC
W
25.07 19:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Bogota FC 1:0 Union Magdalena
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points