Colombia. Serie A
Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC
Internacional Palmira meet Bogota FC on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Internacional Palmira 0-0-1, Bogota FC 1-0-0. The market favourite is Internacional Palmira at roughly 55%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Internacional Palmira — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Internacional Palmira): model 26% · market 55% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Internacional Palmira 53.3%, draw 26.4%, win Bogota FC 20.3%. Model favourite — Internacional Palmira.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bogota: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
- • no edge over the line (+0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Internacional Palmira.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.40 / 2 5.11
- 1X2 market: Internacional Palmira 55.4% / X 26.8% / Bogota FC 17.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.33 18.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.25 19.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.63 61.4% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 0_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 3_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_3 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 4_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.31 43.3% | |
| X | 2.03 49.3% |
| 5.80 17.2% |
Bogota FC
Full head-to-head historyInternacional Palmira - Bogota FC
Match history
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The Internacional Palmira - Bogota FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form