Colombia. Serie A
Millonarios go head-to-head with Deportivo Pasto on August 5, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Millonarios 0-1-1, Deportivo Pasto 0-0-2. The market favourite is Millonarios at roughly 63%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Millonarios — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · Millonarios): model 48% · market 63% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Millonarios 62.5%, draw 23.0%, win Deportivo Pasto 14.5%. Model favourite — Millonarios.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Millonarios.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 68.5% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.45 69.0% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.05 24.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.10 24.4% |
| 7.25 13.8% | 6.85 14.6% | 7.50 13.3% | 6.80 14.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.50 15.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.03 49.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
| x2 | 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 0_2 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_3 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 2_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 3_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 3_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 3_3 | 71.00 1.4% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.9 |
| Winline | 1.53 | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| Fonbet | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.9 |
| Betcity | 1.55 | 3.9 | 5.6 |
Millonarios
Bukaramanga
Full head-to-head historyMillonarios - Deportivo Pasto
The Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
