Colombia. Serie A
Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena
Real Soacha Cundinamarca meet Real Cartagena on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2-1-2, Real Cartagena 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Real Cartagena, an implied 36% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Real Cartagena — 36%
Pure model vs market (2 · Real Cartagena): model 41% · market 36% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Real Soacha Cundinamarca 33.5%, draw 30.6%, win Real Cartagena 35.9%. Model favourite — Real Cartagena.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Real Kartakhena: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Cartagena.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 2.93 / 2 2.53
- 1X2 market: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 33.2% / X 31.0% / Real Cartagena 35.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 1:0 · 45'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
45'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
1:0 45'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 2.95 33.9% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.70 58.8% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 2.03 49.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 2.35 42.6% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 0_4 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_0 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 2_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
Real Cartagena
Full head-to-head historyReal Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena
Match history
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The Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form