Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie A

Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena

Football
R
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
- : -
Not started
Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena

Real Soacha Cundinamarca meet Real Cartagena on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2-1-2, Real Cartagena 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Real Cartagena, an implied 36% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Real Cartagena36%

Pure model vs market (2 · Real Cartagena): model 41% · market 36% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca33.5%
X · draw30.6%
2 · Real Cartagena35.9%

Model estimate: win Real Soacha Cundinamarca 33.5%, draw 30.6%, win Real Cartagena 35.9%. Model favourite — Real Cartagena.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Real Cartagena (odds1.71) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Real Kartakhena: probability 50% vs 58% on the line (odds 1.71)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Cartagena.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Cartagena. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.74 / X 2.93 / 2 2.53
  • 1X2 market: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 33.2% / X 31.0% / Real Cartagena 35.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.2%
1 33.1%
X 31.0%
2 35.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
#1313 ptsGP 162-7-714:20
Real Cartagena
#343 ptsGP 2412-7-539:26
Best price across 14 books
1 2.95 Unibet
X 3.10 Bet365
2 2.64 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
W-D-L 0-6-4 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.06 xGA 1.19
Real Cartagena
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.57 xGA 0.97

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Rating 1438 xG 1.13 Win 36%
Real Cartagena
Rating 1562 xG 1.13 Win 36%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1 : 1 Real Cartagena
12.72
X2.80
22.58

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 45'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

45'
61% 25% 14%
Real Soacha Cundinamarca (1) Draw (X) Real Cartagena (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

1:0 45'
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Real Cartagena
56Attacks66
31Dangerous attacks25
3Shots on target1
51%Control (ball-safe)60%
3Corners0
6Fouls3

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 02.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 33.1% @ 2.74 / X 31.0% @ 2.93 / 2 35.9% @ 2.53
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Real Cartagena 36%
💹 Market Real Cartagena 3583%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Real Soacha Cundinamarca - Real Cartagena

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Real Soacha Cundinamarca 33.3% 33.5%
Draw 31.1% 30.6% draw risk
Real Cartagena 35.6% 35.9% market and model agree
xG - 1.13 : 1.13

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 33.5% / 30.6% / 35.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,362 / 1,512 Real Cundinamarca / Real Cartagena
RD 274 / 216 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 815-1,910 / 1,081-1,944 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 Fonbet · no value · model 35.9%
X 3.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.52 Fonbet · no value · model 33.5%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 69.4%
1X 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 64.1%
X2 2.35 Fonbet · weak value +56.4% · model 66.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0%
X 2.95 33.9% 2.88 34.7% 3.10 32.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 1.70 58.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.11 90.1%
x2 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 2.35 42.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.50 15.4%
0_1 6.25 16.0%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 23.00 4.4%
0_4 61.00 1.6%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 51.00 2.0%
2_0 11.00 9.1%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 13.00 7.7%
2_3 29.00 3.5%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 26.00 3.9%
3_1 19.00 5.3%
3_2 29.00 3.5%
Match center
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
L D L W W
2026-07-27 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Envigado 1:0 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
2026-05-26 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2:2 Rionegro Aguilas
2026-05-17 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Deportivo Pereira 1:0 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
2026-05-13 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Real Soacha Cundinamarca 2:0 Independiente Yumbo
2026-05-07 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Group D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca Jaguares Cordoba 1:2 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Real Cartagena
D W L D L
2026-07-30 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
Real Cartagena 1:1 America de Cali Real Cartagena
2026-07-26 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Clausura
Real Cartagena 5:1 Real Santander Real Cartagena
2026-07-22 Copa DIMAYOR 2026, Knockout Stage
America de Cali 2:1 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
2026-05-29 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Final
Envigado 1:1 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
2026-05-26 Torneo DIMAYOR 2026, Apertura, Final
Real Cartagena 2:3 Envigado Real Cartagena
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points