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Colombia. Serie B
Colombia. Serie B
06.08.2026 21:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie B

Depor FC - Real Santander

Football
D
Depor FC
- : -
Not started
R
Real Santander

Depor FC go head-to-head with Real Santander on August 6, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Depor FC 0-1-1, Real Santander 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Depor FC — 61%

1 · Depor FC ✓ Pick61.2%
market43%
X · draw17.9%
market28%
2 · Real Santander20.8%
market28%

Model estimate: win Depor FC 61.2%, draw 17.9%, win Real Santander 20.8%. Model favourite — Depor FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Depor FC (odds2.00) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Atletiko: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Depor FC - Real Santander August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Depor FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.30 / 2 3.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1% 3 books
1 ✓ Pick 43.2%
X 28.4%
2 28.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Depor FC
#1510 ptsGP 171-7-914:27
Real Santander
#168 ptsGP 171-5-1112:30
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Depor FC
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.61 xG 0.89 xGA 1.41
Real Santander
W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 0.71 Conceded 2.12 xG 0.95 xGA 1.43

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Depor FC
Rating 1330
Real Santander
Rating 1312

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 43.9% @ 2.11 / X 28.1% @ 3.30 / 2 28.1% @ 3.30
Match center

Depor FC - Real Santander

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Depor FC 50.9% 61.2% market and model agree
Draw 16.5% 17.9% draw risk
Real Santander 32.5% 20.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 61.2% / 17.9% / 20.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,484 / 1,285 Atletico Penapolense U20 / Real Santander
RD 274 / 232 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 936-2,032 / 820-1,749 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.23 market consensus · no value · model 20.8%
X 3.23 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.10 market consensus · value +28.6% · model 61.2%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · value +5.0% · model 82.1%
1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 79.2%
X2 1.62 market consensus · no value · model 38.8%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.36 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.89 34.6%
X 1.97 50.8%
4.05 24.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.44 69.4%
Over 2.5 1.99 50.3%
Over 3.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 0.5 2.46 40.7%
Under 2.5 1.68 59.5%
Under 3.5 2.04 49.0%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-2-2, avg 2.67 gls
2026-02-04 · Atletiko 1:1 Real Santander
2025-09-22 · Atletiko 0:4 Real Santander
2025-06-01 · Atletiko 3:2 Real Santander
2025-04-14 · Atletiko 2:0 Real Santander
2024-08-16 · Atletiko 0:1 Real Santander
Source: ruscore
Depor FC
D L
02.08 22:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Depor FC 2:2 Barrankilya
27.07 22:30 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Depor FC 0:10 Ind. Yumbo
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
1 Points
Real Santander
L
25.07 22:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Real Santander 1:5 Real KartakhenaReal Kartakhena
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDepor FC - Real Santander

Depor FC
0 matches total
Real Santander
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history