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Colombia. Serie B
Colombia. Serie B
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie B

Barranquilla - Depor FC

Football
B
Barranquilla
- : -
Not started
D
Depor FC

Barranquilla take on Depor FC on August 1, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Barranquilla 0-0-1, Depor FC 0-0-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Barranquilla — 47%

1 · Barranquilla47.2%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Depor FC33.3%

Model estimate: win Barranquilla 47.2%, draw 19.5%, win Depor FC 33.3%. Model favourite — Barranquilla.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Barranquilla (odds2.60) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Barrankilya: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barranquilla - Depor FC August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Barranquilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / X 3.90 / 2 6.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 60.7%
X 23.8%
2 15.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Barranquilla
#726 ptsGP 227-5-1026:27
Depor FC
#159 ptsGP 161-6-912:25
Best price across 11 books
1 1.60 Bet365
X 3.85 Pinnacle
2 6.13 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Barranquilla
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.09 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.02 xGA 1.55
Depor FC
W-D-L 1-3-6 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.51 xG 0.90 xGA 1.39

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Barranquilla
Rating 1464
Depor FC
Rating 1318

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 60.7% @ 1.53 / X 23.8% @ 3.90 / 2 15.5% @ 6.00
Match center

Barranquilla - Depor FC

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Barranquilla - 47.2% model pick
Draw - 19.5% draw risk
Depor FC - 33.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.2% / 19.5% / 33.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,396 / 1,500 Barranquilla FC / Atletico Penapolense U20
RD 242 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 912-1,880 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.00 market consensus · no value · model 33.3%
X 3.89 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.50 market consensus · no value · model 47.2%
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 80.5%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 66.7%
X2 2.39 market consensus · value +26.2% · model 52.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.88 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.71 58.5%
yes 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.47 40.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.11 47.4%
X 2.23 44.8%
5.70 17.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.36 73.5%
Under 0.5 2.75 36.4%
Match center
Barranquilla
L
26.07 20:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Barranquilla 0:1 Orsomarso
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Depor FC
L
27.07 22:30 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Depor FC 0:10 Ind. Yumbo
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
10.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarranquilla - Depor FC

Barranquilla
0 matches total
Depor FC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history