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Colombia. Serie B
Colombia. Serie B
06.08.2026 21:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 21:30 UTC
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Colombia. Serie B

Bogota FC - Leones FC

Football
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
- : -
Not started
L
Leones FC

Bogota FC meet Leones FC on August 6, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bogota FC 1-1-0, Leones FC 1-1-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bogota FC — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Bogota FC): model 41% · market 51% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Bogota FC53.4%
X · draw27.4%
2 · Leones FC19.2%

Model estimate: win Bogota FC 53.4%, draw 27.4%, win Leones FC 19.2%. Model favourite — Bogota FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Bogota FC (odds2.55) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Bogota: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
  • • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bogota FC - Leones FC August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Bogota FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.51 / 2 4.11

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4% 3 books · best price +1.1%
1 51.1%
X 26.1%
2 22.8%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Bogota FC
#630 ptsGP 237-9-720:22
Leones FC
#1414 ptsGP 173-5-910:25
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bogota FC
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.89 xG 1.11 xGA 1.35
Leones FC
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.51 Conceded 1.19 xG 0.89 xGA 1.42

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Bogota FC
Rating 1482
Leones FC
Rating 1350

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 22:25 UTC
1 38% ✓ favourite
X 34%
2 28%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Double chance 1X
Per AI data H2H: 1-1
Claude updated03.08.2026 22:28 UTC
1 42% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 27%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Under 2.5 golov
Per AI data H2H: 1-1

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 38% 34% 28% 1:1 Under 2.5 Yes Double chance 1X
Claude 42% 31% 27% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Under 2.5 golov

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 21:30 UTC
Market 1 51.1% @ 1.81 / X 26.4% @ 3.51 / 2 22.5% @ 4.11
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Bogota FC 40%
📐 Math model Bogota FC 53%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Bogota FC - Leones FC

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bogota FC 54.2% 53.4% market and model agree
Draw 27.6% 27.4% draw risk
Leones FC 18.2% 19.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.4% / 27.4% / 19.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,486 / 1,541 International de Bogota / Leones
RD 231 / 221 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,024-1,948 / 1,098-1,984 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.04 market consensus · no value · model 19.2%
X 3.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.79 market consensus · no value · model 53.4%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 72.6%
1X 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 80.8%
X2 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 46.6%
Handicap
2 0 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3%
x2 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.38 42.0%
X 1.98 50.5%
5.70 17.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.46 68.5%
Under 0.5 2.41 41.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-4-2, avg 2.0 gls
2026-02-05 · Bogota 1:1 Leones
2025-10-25 · Bogota 0:1 Leones
2025-06-03 · Bogota 0:0 Leones
2025-05-17 · Bogota 0:3 Leones
2024-09-28 · Bogota 1:1 Leones
Source: ruscore
Bogota FC
D W
02.08 22:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Bogota FC 0:0 Kortulua
25.07 19:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Bogota FC 1:0 Union Magdalena
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Leones FC
D W
03.08 22:30 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Leones FC 1:1 Kindio
24.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Leones FC 1:0 TigresTigres
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBogota FC - Leones FC

Bogota FC
0 matches total
Leones FC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history