Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Leones FC - Quindio
Leones FC go head-to-head with Quindio on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Leones FC 1-0-0, Quindio 0-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Quindio the favourite at about 46%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Quindio — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · Quindio): model 33% · market 46% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Leones FC 24.9%, draw 30.3%, win Quindio 44.8%. Model favourite — Quindio.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Leones: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.10)
- • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Leones FC - Quindio August 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Quindio.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.87 / X 2.99 / 2 1.99
- 1X2 market: Leones FC 23.6% / X 30.5% / Quindio 45.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera BHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Leones FC - Quindio
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.90 25.6% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | |
| X | 3.00 33.3% | 2.93 34.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.36 73.5% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.57 63.7% |
| x2 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_1 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 0_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 3_0 | 46.00 2.2% |
Tigres
Full head-to-head historyLeones FC - Quindio
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form