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Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Not started

Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings

Leones FC - Quindio

Football
L
Leones FC
- : -
Not started
Q
Quindio

Leones FC go head-to-head with Quindio on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Leones FC 1-0-0, Quindio 0-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Quindio the favourite at about 46%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Quindio45%

Pure model vs market (2 · Quindio): model 33% · market 46% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Leones FC24.9%
X · draw30.3%
2 · Quindio44.8%

Model estimate: win Leones FC 24.9%, draw 30.3%, win Quindio 44.8%. Model favourite — Quindio.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leones FC (odds3.10) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Leones: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.10)
  • edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leones FC - Quindio August 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Quindio.

Line favourite market consensus: Quindio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.87 / X 2.99 / 2 1.99
  • 1X2 market: Leones FC 23.6% / X 30.5% / Quindio 45.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8% 15 books · best price +13.5%
1 23.7%
X 30.8%
2 45.5%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Leones FC
#1413 ptsGP 163-4-99:24
Quindio
#541 ptsGP 2212-5-524:14
Best price across 13 books
1 4.00 BetVictor
X 3.30 Bet365
2 2.03 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Leones FC
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.40 Conceded 1.29 xG 0.90 xGA 1.44
Quindio
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.70 xG 1.29 xGA 1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Leones FC
Rating 1350 xG 0.99 Win 31%
Quindio
Rating 1564 xG 1.14 Win 39%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Leones FC 1 : 1 Quindio
13.89
X2.93
21.99

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 23.6% @ 3.87 / X 30.5% @ 2.99 / 2 45.9% @ 1.99
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Quindio 45%
💹 Market Quindio 4587%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Leones FC - Quindio

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Leones FC 23.7% 24.9%
Draw 30.8% 30.3% draw risk
Quindio 45.5% 44.8% market and model agree
xG - 0.99 : 1.14

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 24.9% / 30.3% / 44.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,555 / 1,558 Leones / Kindio
RD 255 / 250 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,046-2,065 / 1,057-2,058 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 44.8%
X 2.98 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.80 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
Double chance
12 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 69.7%
1X 1.54 market consensus · no value · model 55.2%
X2 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.57 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.90 25.6% 3.86 25.9% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%
X 3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1% 3.30 30.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.60 62.5%
yes 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.51 66.2% 1.57 63.7%
x2 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 6.00 16.7%
0_1 4.50 22.2%
0_2 7.00 14.3%
0_3 15.00 6.7%
0_4 41.00 2.4%
0_5 91.00 1.1%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 15.00 6.7%
2_1 12.00 8.3%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 34.00 2.9%
2_4 71.00 1.4%
3_0 46.00 2.2%
Match center
Leones FC
W
24.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Leones FC 1:0 TigresTigres
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Quindio
D
24.07 19:05 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Quindio 1:1 Boka Khuniors Kali
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeones FC - Quindio

Leones FC
0 matches total
Quindio
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history