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Colombia. Serie B
Colombia. Serie B
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie B

Orsomarso - Tigres FC

Football
O
Orsomarso
- : -
Not started
Tigres FC
Tigres FC

Orsomarso go head-to-head with Tigres FC on August 6, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie B.

Recent form (W-D-L): Orsomarso 1-0-0, Tigres FC 0-1-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Orsomarso63%

1 · Orsomarso ✓ Pick63.2%
market48%
X · draw18.0%
market30%
2 · Tigres FC18.8%
market22%

Model estimate: win Orsomarso 63.2%, draw 18.0%, win Tigres FC 18.8%. Model favourite — Orsomarso.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Orsomarso (odds1.78) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • Model backs Orsomarso: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.78)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Orsomarso - Tigres FC August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Orsomarso. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.01 / 2 4.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5% 3 books · best price +11.0%
1 ✓ Pick 47.8%
X 30.4%
2 21.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera B
League table
Orsomarso
#1121 ptsGP 175-6-614:17
Tigres FC
#825 ptsGP 236-7-1019:23
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Orsomarso
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.89 Conceded 1.09 xG 1.03 xGA 1.25
Tigres FC
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.60 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.93 xGA 1.32

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Orsomarso
Rating 1462
Tigres FC
Rating 1456

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 45.3% @ 2.12 / X 31.9% @ 3.01 / 2 22.8% @ 4.20
Match center

Orsomarso - Tigres FC

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Orsomarso - 63.2% model pick
Draw - 18.0% draw risk
Tigres FC - 18.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 63.2% / 18.0% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,591 / 1,313 Orsomarso / Tigres Monterrey
RD 254 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,082-2,099 / 921-1,706 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.01 market consensus · no value · model 18.8%
X 3.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.98 market consensus · value +25.1% · model 63.2%
Double chance
12 1.32 market consensus · value +8.2% · model 82.0%
1X 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 81.2%
X2 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 36.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.19 84.0%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.67 37.5%
X 1.89 52.9%
5.10 19.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.54 64.9%
Under 0.5 2.21 45.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-1-1, avg 1.86 gls
2026-02-04 · Orsomarso 1:0 Tigres
2025-08-02 · Orsomarso 0:2 Tigres
2025-02-22 · Orsomarso 1:1 Tigres
2024-08-12 · Orsomarso 1:0 Tigres
2024-06-01 · Orsomarso 1:0 Tigres
Source: ruscore
Orsomarso
W
26.07 20:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Orsomarso 1:0 Barrankilya
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Tigres FC
D L
01.08 21:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Tigres FC 0:0 Boka Khuniors Kali
24.07 21:00 UTC Colombia: Primera B - Clausura Standings
Tigres FC 0:1 Leones
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOrsomarso - Tigres FC

Orsomarso
0 matches total
Tigres FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history