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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
06.08.2026 02:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
06.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Match in progress

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Alianza San Salvador - Herediano

Football
A
Alianza San Salvador
- : -
Match in progress
H
Herediano

Alianza San Salvador go head-to-head with Herediano on August 6, 2026 in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Alianza San Salvador 3-0-2, Herediano 2-3-0. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Herediano — 39%

Pure model vs market (2 · Herediano): model 28% · market 40% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alianza San Salvador32.0%
X · draw29.4%
2 · Herediano38.6%

Model estimate: win Alianza San Salvador 32.0%, draw 29.4%, win Herediano 38.6%. Model favourite — Herediano.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alianza San Salvador (odds1.75) Score 2:1 confidence 57%
  • • Model backs Alyansa (Sal): probability 57% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.75)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza San Salvador - Herediano August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alianza San Salvador. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 3.65 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 4 books · best price +283.0%
1 31.5%
X 28.8%
2 39.7%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF Central American Cup
League table
Alianza San Salvador
#53 ptsGP 11-0-02:1
Herediano
#111 ptsGP 10-1-00:0
Best price across 11 books
1 3.00 Dafabet
X 3.70 Bet365
2 2.32 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Alianza San Salvador
W-D-L 3-1-5 Scored 0.96 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.11 xGA 1.34
Herediano
W-D-L 1-7-2 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.72 xG 1.36 xGA 0.93

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Alianza San Salvador 0 : 0 Herediano
13.00
X3.08
22.26

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 67'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

67'
65% 25% 10%
Alianza San Salvador (1) Draw (X) Herediano (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated04.08.2026 03:34 UTC
1 43% ✓ favourite
X 33%
2 24%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1X
Per AI data Form:WLLWW / DDWDD H2H: 0-0 Injuries:no
Claude updated04.08.2026 03:38 UTC
1 43% ✓ favourite
X 29%
2 28%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 3.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:1X (Alyansa ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 43% 33% 24% 1:1 Under 2.5 No 1X
Claude 43% 29% 28% 1:1 Under 3.5 Yes 1X (Alyansa ne proigraet)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 65.0% @ 1.40 / X 24.9% @ 3.65 / 2 10.1% @ 9.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Alianza San Salvador 43%
📐 Math model Herediano 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Alianza San Salvador - Herediano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alianza San Salvador 30.8% 32.0%
Draw 29.8% 29.4% draw risk
Herediano 39.4% 38.6% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.0% / 29.4% / 38.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,600 / 1,481 Alianza San Salvador / Herediano
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,017-2,182 / 899-2,063 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 38.6%
X 3.65 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 32.0%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 70.6%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 61.4%
X2 2.60 Fonbet · weak value +76.9% · model 68.0%
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 6.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.52 65.8% 1.97 50.8%
yes 2.35 42.6% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 2.60 38.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.85 26.0%
X 1.95 51.3%
2.96 33.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.93 51.8%
Under 1 1.78 56.2%
Match center

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.95 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.2 (Betcity) · 2 2.45 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.6 3.15 2.45
Winline 2.65 3.15 2.44
Fonbet 2.6 3.15 2.45
Betcity 2.85 3.2 2.4
Liga Stavok 2.95 3.2 2.29
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Alianza San Salvador
W W L L W
2026-07-30 CONCACAF Central American Cup 2026, Group B
Alianza San Salvador Alianza San Salvador 2:1 Deportivo Antigua
2026-07-26 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Alianza San Salvador Inca 1:3 Alianza San Salvador
2026-05-10 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Alianza San Salvador Alianza San Salvador 0:2 Aguila San Miguel
2026-05-06 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Alianza San Salvador Aguila San Miguel 2:1 Alianza San Salvador
2026-05-01 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Alianza San Salvador Fuerte San Francisco 0:1 Alianza San Salvador
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Herediano
D D D W W
2026-08-03 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Inter San Carlos 1:1 Herediano Herediano
2026-07-31 CONCACAF Central American Cup 2026, Group B
Herediano 0:0 Marathon Herediano
2026-07-24 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Herediano 1:1 Puntarenas Herediano
2026-07-18 Recopa 2026
Herediano 1:0 Deportivo Saprissa Herediano
2026-05-17 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Herediano 2:0 Deportivo Saprissa Herediano
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points