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North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings
30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

North I TsENTRALNAYa AMERIKA: CONCACAF Central American Cup Standings

Alianza San Salvador - Antigua (Gva)

Football
A
Alianza San Salvador
- : -
Not started
A
Antigua (Gva)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Alianza San Salvador — 37%

Pure model vs market (1 · Alianza San Salvador): model 44% · market 59% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Alianza San Salvador37.3%
X · draw27.7%
2 · Antigua (Gva)35.0%

Model estimate: win Alianza San Salvador 37.3%, draw 27.7%, win Antigua (Gva) 35.0%. Model favourite — Alianza San Salvador.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alianza San Salvador (odds1.92) Score 2:1 confidence 52%
  • • Model backs Alyansa (Sal): probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza San Salvador - Antigua (Gva) July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alianza San Salvador. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.57 / X 3.75 / 2 5.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 58.7%
X 24.6%
2 16.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Alianza San Salvador 1 : 1 Antigua (Gva)
12.55
X3.14
22.49

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:0 · 36'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

36'
59% 25% 17%
Alianza San Salvador (1) Draw (X) Antigua (Gva) (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Alianza San Salvador - Antigua (Gva)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alianza San Salvador 36.9% 37.3% market and model agree
Draw 28.0% 27.7% draw risk
Antigua (Gva) 35.1% 35.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 37.3% / 27.7% / 35.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Alianza San Salvador / Antigua (Gva)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.50 Fonbet · no value · model 35.0%
X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.57 Fonbet · no value · model 37.3%
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 72.3%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 65.0%
X2 2.25 Fonbet · value +41.0% · model 62.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.57 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.95 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.20 45.5% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.14 87.7%
x2 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 2.25 44.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.36 29.8%
X 1.99 50.3%
3.22 31.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 1 2.14 46.7%
Under 0.5 2.61 38.3%
Under 1 1.63 61.4%