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CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Diriangen (Nik) - Plasa Amador (Pan)

Football
D
Diriangen (Nik)
- : -
Not started
P
Plasa Amador (Pan)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Diriangen (Nik) — 37%

Pure model vs market (1 · Diriangen (Nik)): model 44% · market 41% Δ +3 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Diriangen (Nik)37.0%
X · draw27.9%
2 · Plasa Amador (Pan)35.0%

Model estimate: win Diriangen (Nik) 37.0%, draw 27.9%, win Plasa Amador (Pan) 35.0%. Model favourite — Diriangen (Nik).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Diriangen (Nik) (odds2.15) Score 2:1 Over 2.5 (odds1.65) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.68) confidence 52%
  • • liniya na pik P1 2.18→2.15 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Diriangen (Nik): probability 52% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.15)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 2:1
  • • Total: Over 2.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.65)
  • • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.68).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Diriangen (Nik) - Plasa Amador (Pan) July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Diriangen (Nik). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.17 / X 3.55 / 2 2.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.3%
1 41.4%
X 25.3%
2 33.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 2.18 ↓ 2.17
1X2 X 3.55 → 3.55
1X2 P2 2.70 → 2.70

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Diriangen (Nik) 1 : 2 Plasa Amador (Pan)
12.52
X3.22
22.47

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
9 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 66% 2
2 33% 1
Total TM 2.5 2.01 (1) - TB 2.5 1.70 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:0 1.86 (1)
Correct score 2:1 6.40 (1) - 0:2 9.00 (1)
total_under_half1 TB 1 1.70 (1)
Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 66%
📐 Math model Diriangen (Nik) 37%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Diriangen (Nik) - Plasa Amador (Pan)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Diriangen (Nik) 36.6% 37.0% market and model agree
Draw 28.3% 27.9% draw risk
Plasa Amador (Pan) 35.2% 35.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 37.0% / 27.9% / 35.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Diriangen (Nik) / Plasa Amador (Pan)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 35.0%
X 3.55 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.17 Fonbet · no value · model 37.0%
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 72.1%
1X 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 65.0%
X2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 63.0%
Handicap
2 0 2.05 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.35 74.1%
x2 1.43 69.9% 1.45 69.0% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.19 31.4%
X 2.12 47.2%
3.09 32.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.71 58.5%
Under 1 2.02 49.5%