CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
Luis Angel Firpo (r) - Fuerte San Francisco
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Luis Angel Firpo (r) — 49%
Model estimate: win Luis Angel Firpo (r) 48.7%, draw 19.6%, win Fuerte San Francisco 31.7%. Model favourite — Luis Angel Firpo (r).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Luis Ankhel Firpo: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.05)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Luis Angel Firpo (r) - Fuerte San Francisco July 28, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.30 / X 4.60 / 2 1.42
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Now in play
score 0:0 · 15'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
15'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
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Luis Angel Firpo (r) - Fuerte San Francisco
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 2.45 40.8% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 4.10 24.4% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 1.19 84.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.10 24.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% |
Full head-to-head historyLuis Angel Firpo (r) - Fuerte San Francisco
Match history
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The Luis Angel Firpo (r) - Fuerte San Francisco breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form