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Start
15.04.2026 03:30 UTC
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15.04.2026 03:30 UTC
Finished
CONCACAF Champions League
Club America - Nashville SC
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Club America - Nashville SC April 15, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Club America.
Line favourite market consensus: Club America. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.59 / 2 4.93
- 1X2 market: Club America 55.0% / X 25.9% / Nashville SC 19.0%
- Glicko: Club America - / X 100.0% / Nashville SC -
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.3%
1
55.1%
X
26.0%
2
18.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5
47.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
5/6
Confidence
67.3%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Club America - Nashville SC
Club America: ?????±?µ???° 1.67 Club America: ?????????? 3.80 ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ??°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ??? ????????? ??????¬? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????» ?????±?µ???°: 5.00 ???±?????? ???????°?» ?????»???? ?±???»?????µ 2.5: 2.05 ???±?????? ???????°?» ?????»???? ???µ???????µ 2.5: 1.75 ?????????????????°?»???????? ???????°?» ?????»???? Club America ?±???»?????µ 1.5: 1.83 ?????????????????°?»???????? ???????°?» ?????»???? Club America ???µ???????µ 1.5: 1.83 ?????????????????°?»???????? ????????¦
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
13
Statistics
24
Lineups
45
min
Event
Player
Team
51'
51' Normal Goal
Nashville SC
54'
54' Substitution 1 | R. Juárez | assist/sub out: I. Violante
R. Juárez
Club America
58'
58' Substitution 1 | R. Baker-Whiting | assist/sub out: D. Lovitz
R. Baker-Whiting
Nashville SC
63'
63' Yellow Card
Nashville SC
68'
68' Substitution 2 | J. dos Santos | assist/sub out: A. Cervantes
J. dos Santos
Club America
69'
69' Substitution 3 | P. Salas | assist/sub out: R. ZGєG±iga
P. Salas
Club America
69'
69' Substitution 4 | É. Sánchez | assist/sub out: Lima
É. Sánchez
Club America
71'
71' Substitution 2 | A. Muyl | assist/sub out: M. Corcoran
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Metric
Club America
Nashville SC
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.43
0.76
final
Zablokirovannye udary
4
1
final
Shots off target
6
5
final
Shots on target
8
2
final
Udary vsego
18
8
final
Fouls soversheno
10
7
final
Zheltye kartochki
0
2
final
Offsides
1
0
final
Club America
#6 J. dos Santos, #7 Brian Rodríguez, #23 Raphael Veiga, #26 C. Borja, #30 R. Cota, #4 Sebastián Cáceres, #28 É. Sánchez, #33 P. Salas, #10 A. Zendejas, #29 R. Juárez, #3 I. Reyes
Nashville SC
#19 A. Muyl, #27 R. Baker-Whiting, #41 W. Madrigal, #99 B. Schwake, #3 M. Woledzi, #10 H. Mukhtar, #20 E. Tagseth, #4 J. Palacios, #8 P. Yazbek, #7 C. Espinoza, #31 A. Najar
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Dribling popytki
2
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Edinoborstva vyigrano
3
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Seyvy
0
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
football.player.minutes_played
71
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Klyuchevye pasy
11
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Reyting (staryy)
6.9
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Bloki
2
A. Muyl
Nashville SC
Otbory vsego
10
A. Najar
Nashville SC
Dribling popytki
3
A. Najar
Nashville SC
Dribling uspeshno
2
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Club America
55.9%
-
market favourite
Draw
25.5%
100.0%
draw risk
Nashville SC
18.6%
-
Total 2.5
Over 52.0%
-
Under 48.0%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.75
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.75
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
Rating
1,705 / 1,691
Club America / Nashville SC
RD
173 / 181
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.93
market consensus · line only
X
3.60
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.69
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.15
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.62
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.80
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.01
market consensus · weak value +4.5% · model 52.0%
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · no value · model 48.0%
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.66 60.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.62 61.7% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 5.10 19.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 5.04 19.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
Match center
Club America
Founded
1916
Nashville SC
Founded
2020
Match center
Club America
D
D
W
D
W
Club America
0:0
Neshvill
Neshvill
Club America
1:1
Filadelfiya Yunion
Filadelfiya Yunion
Club America
1:0
Filadelfiya Yunion
Filadelfiya Yunion
Club America
0:0
CD Olimpia
Club America
2:1
CD Olimpia
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
0.8
Scored
0.4
Conceded
9
Points
Nashville SC
D
D
D
W
W
Nashville SC
0:0
Klub Amerika
Klub Amerika
Nashville SC
1:1
Inter Mayami
Inter Mayami
Nashville SC
0:0
Inter Mayami
Inter Mayami
Nashville SC
5:0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
2:0
Atlético Ottawa
Atlético Ottawa
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.2
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyClub America - Nashville SC
Club America
1
matches total
Club America: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Nashville SC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (08.04 00:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Klub Amerika
0:0
Neshvill
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form