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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
18.03.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul - Monterrey

World Football
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1 : 1
Finished
Monterrey
Monterrey

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruz Azul - Monterrey March 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cruz Azul.

Line favourite market consensus: Cruz Azul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.15 / 2 5.30
  • 1X2 market: Cruz Azul 59.9% / X 22.4% / Monterrey 17.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%
1 60.0%
X 22.4%
2 17.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 57.3%
Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.03.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Cruz Azul - Monterrey

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.33 market consensus · line only
X 4.17 market consensus · line only
1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
X 4.41 22.7%
5.72 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.54 64.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
X 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
5.50 18.2% 4.30 23.3% 5.30 18.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.90 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Cruz Azul
W W W W W
11.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 3:2 MonterreyMonterrey
13.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 5:0 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
05.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 3:0 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
02.06 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 5:0 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
02.05 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 1:0 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Monterrey
L W D D D
11.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 2:3 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
12.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 2:0 Xelajú
05.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 1:1 Xelajú
13.03 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 2:2 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
06.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Monterrey 1:1 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCruz Azul - Monterrey

Cruz Azul
1 matches total
Monterrey
Cruz Azul: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monterrey: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Cruz Azul 3:2 (11.03 01:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 11.03 01:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

11.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul
3:2
Monterrey