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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
08.04.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Los Angeles FC - Cruz Azul

World Football
Stadium BMO Stadium
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
Finished
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Los Angeles FC39%

1 · Los Angeles FC39.4%
X · draw25.6%
2 · Cruz Azul35.0%

Model estimate: win Los Angeles FC 39.4%, draw 25.6%, win Cruz Azul 35.0%. Model favourite — Los Angeles FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles FC - Cruz Azul April 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Los Angeles FC.

Strongest: Los Angeles FC - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.57 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Los Angeles FC 51.8% / X 26.1% / Cruz Azul 22.1%
  • Glicko: Los Angeles FC 39.4% / X 25.6% / Cruz Azul 35.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 52.0%
X 26.2%
2 21.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 43.2%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 08.04.2026 02:00 UTC
Stadium BMO Stadium (Los-Andzheles)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Los Angeles FC 39%
💹 Market Los Angeles FC 5181%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Los Angeles FC - Cruz Azul

Los Angeles FC: Win 2.10 Los Angeles FC: Draw 3.40 Cruz Azul Win: 3.60 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Los Angeles FC bolshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Los Angeles FC menshe 1.5: 1.67 Individualny…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 15
Statistics 24
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
30' 30' Normal Goal | Son Heung-Min Son Heung-Min Los Angeles FC
34' 34' Yellow Card Cruz Azul
39' 39' Normal Goal Los Angeles FC
58' 58' Normal Goal | D. Martínez D. Martínez Los Angeles FC
61' 61' Yellow Card Cruz Azul
61' 61' Substitution 1 | J. Márquez | assist/sub out: C. Rotondi J. Márquez Cruz Azul
61' 61' Substitution 2 | G. FernGЎndez | assist/sub out: N. IbGЎG±ez G. Fernández Cruz Azul
69' 69' Substitution 1 | D. Martínez | assist/sub out: J. Shaffelburg D. Martínez Los Angeles FC
Metric Los Angeles FC Cruz Azul SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.99 0.47 final
Zablokirovannye udary 0 4 final
Shots off target 3 6 final
Shots on target 5 5 final
Udary vsego 8 15 final
Fouls soversheno 10 13 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 3 final
Offsides 0 0 final
Los Angeles FC #1 H. Lloris, #4 E. Segura, #7 Son Heung-Min, #8 M. Delgado, #99 D. Bouanga, #30 D. Martínez, #66 M. Choinière, #91 N. Tafari, #5 R. Porteous, #11 T. Tillman, #14 Sergi Palencia
Cruz Azul #3 O. Campos, #19 C. Rodríguez, #21 G. Fernández, #23 K. Mier, #6 É. Lira, #16 J. Márquez, #20 J. Paradela, #8 A. Palavecino, #17 A. García, #4 Willer Ditta, #22 Jorge Rodarte Barragan
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Smolyakov Los Angeles FC Seyvy 0
Cabral Carter Los Angeles FC Seyvy 0
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Dribling popytki 6
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Dribling uspeshno 10
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Edinoborstva vsego 1
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Edinoborstva vyigrano 14
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Fouls na igroke 3
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Seyvy 0
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC football.player.minutes_played 92
D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC Klyuchevye pasy 12
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Los Angeles FC 44.6% 39.4% market and model agree
Draw 29.5% 25.6% draw risk
Cruz Azul 25.9% 35.0%
xG - 1.41 : 1.32
Total 2.5 Over 58.4% - Under 41.6%
Model check - - Difference 0.09
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.09

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.4% / 25.6% / 35.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,701 / 1,897 Los Angeles FC / Cruz Azul
RD 201 / 190 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · no value · model 35.0%
X 3.58 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 39.4%
Double chance
X2 1.95 market consensus · value +18.2% · model 60.6%
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 74.4%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 65.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · value +11.6% · model 58.4%
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 41.6%
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 3.80 26.3%
4.50 22.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.80 55.6% 2.16 46.3% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.68 27.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
4.20 23.8% 2.95 33.9% 4.66 21.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.80 55.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Los Angeles FC
Founded 2014
Cruz Azul
Founded 1927
Match center
Los Angeles FC
W D W W L
18.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 2:1 LD Alajuelense
11.03 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:1 LD Alajuelense
25.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:0 Real Espana
18.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 6:1 Real Espana
10.04 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:3 Inter MayamiInter Mayami
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Cruz Azul
D W W W W
18.03 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 1:1 MonterreyMonterrey
11.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 3:2 MonterreyMonterrey
13.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 5:0 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
05.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 3:0 Vancouver FCVancouver FC
02.06 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Cruz Azul 5:0 Vankuver UaytkepsVankuver Uaytkeps
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLos Angeles FC - Cruz Azul

Los Angeles FC
0 matches total
Cruz Azul
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.