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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
30.04.2026 02:30 UTC Match prediction
30.04.2026 02:30 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Los Angeles FC - Toluca

World Football
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FC
2 : 1
Finished
Toluca
Toluca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Los Angeles FC - Toluca April 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Los Angeles FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Los Angeles FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 3.33 / 2 3.07
  • 1X2 market: Los Angeles FC 41.7% / X 28.0% / Toluca 30.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.4%
1 41.7%
X 27.9%
2 30.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.04.2026 02:30 UTC
Match center

Los Angeles FC - Toluca

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.40 29.4%
3.10 32.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.18 45.9% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.32 30.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.88 34.7% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.23 44.8% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Los Angeles FC
D W W D W
15.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:1 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
08.04 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 3:0 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
18.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 2:1 LD Alajuelense
11.03 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:1 LD Alajuelense
25.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Los Angeles FC 1:0 Real Espana
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Toluca
W W W L
16.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluca 3:0 Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
09.04 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluca 4:2 Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
19.03 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluca 4:0 San-DiegoSan-Diego
12.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluca 2:3 San-DiegoSan-Diego
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLos Angeles FC - Toluca

Los Angeles FC
0 matches total
Toluca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history