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CONCACAF Champions League World

11.03.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction

11.03.2026 01:00 UTC

Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey - Cruz Azul

World Football

Monterrey

2 : 3

Finished

Cruz Azul

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monterrey - Cruz Azul March 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cruz Azul.

Line favourite market consensus: Cruz Azul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.35 / X 3.36 / 2 2.08
1X2 market: Monterrey 27.9% / X 27.6% / Cruz Azul 44.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%

1 27.7%

X 27.6%

2 44.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 51.2%

Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.03.2026 01:00 UTC

Match center

Monterrey - Cruz Azul

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.08 market consensus · line only

X 3.37 market consensus · line only

1 3.37 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.29 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.72 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.06 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.10 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.61 27.7%
X	3.42 29.2%
	2.08 48.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.50 28.6%	2.46 40.7%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.10 32.3%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.34 29.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%
	2.02 49.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.07 48.3%	2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.00 50.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.06 48.5%	2.19 45.7%	2.07 48.3%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	—	1.30 76.9%	—
home_draw	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.78 56.2%	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%	—

Match center

Monterrey

W D D D W

12.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey 2:0 Xelajú

05.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey 1:1 Xelajú

13.03 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey 2:2 Vankuver Uaytkeps

06.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey 1:1 Vankuver Uaytkeps

12.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Monterrey 3:0 Forge

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Cruz Azul

W W W W D

13.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul 5:0 Vancouver FC

05.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul 3:0 Vancouver FC

02.06 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul 5:0 Vankuver Uaytkeps

02.05 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul 1:0 Tigres UANL

24.04 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Cruz Azul 1:1 Tigres UANL

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonterrey - Cruz Azul

Monterrey

0 matches total

Cruz Azul

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Monterrey - Cruz Azul

AI match prediction Monterrey - Cruz Azul March 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Monterrey - Cruz Azul

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history