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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
08.04.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
08.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Nashville SC - Club America

World Football
Stadium Geodis Park
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
0 : 0
Finished
Club America
Club America

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nashville SC - Club America April 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nashville SC.

Line favourite market consensus: Nashville SC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.15 / 2 3.20
  • 1X2 market: Nashville SC 41.4% / X 29.5% / Club America 29.1%
  • Glicko: Nashville SC - / X 100.0% / Club America -
  • Total 2.5: over probability 47.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 41.5%
X 29.5%
2 29.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 61.6%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 08.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Stadium Geodis Park (Neshvill)

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Match center

Nashville SC - Club America

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Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 10
Statistics 24
Lineups 85
min Event Player Team
53' 53' Yellow Card Nashville SC
60' 60' Substitution 1 | W. Madrigal | assist/sub out: A. Muyl W. Madrigal Nashville SC
74' 74' Substitution 1 | Raphael Veiga | assist/sub out: R. ZGєG±iga Raphael Veiga Club America
77' 77' Yellow Card | Rodrigo Dourado Rodrigo Dourado Club America
78' 78' Substitution 2 | P. Yazbek | assist/sub out: E. Tagseth P. Yazbek Nashville SC
83' 83' Substitution 3 | C. Espinoza | assist/sub out: A. Qasem C. Espinoza Nashville SC
85' 85' Yellow Card Club America
90+1' 90+1' Substitution 2 | É. Sánchez | assist/sub out: A. Mejía É. Sánchez Club America
Metric Nashville SC Club America SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.23 0.27 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 3 final
Shots off target 7 1 final
Shots on target 3 4 final
Udary vsego 13 8 final
Fouls soversheno 16 9 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 1 1 final
Nashville SC #3 I. Reyes, #4 Sebastián Cáceres, #12 I. Violante, #17 Rodrigo Dourado, #23 Raphael Veiga, #29 R. Juárez, #30 R. Cota, #33 P. Salas, #9 S. Surridge, #16 M. Corcoran, #27 R. Baker-Whiting
Club America #3 M. Woledzi, #4 J. Palacios, #7 C. Espinoza, #8 P. Yazbek, #9 S. Surridge, #10 H. Mukhtar, #16 M. Corcoran, #27 R. Baker-Whiting, #31 A. Najar, #41 W. Madrigal, #99 B. Schwake
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Cervantes Nashville SC Seyvy 0
A. Gutiérrez Nashville SC Seyvy 0
A. Mejía Nashville SC Seyvy 0
A. Muyl Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 33
A. Najar Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 93
A. Qasem Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 10
B. Schwake Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 93
Brian Rodríguez Nashville SC Seyvy 0
C. Espinoza Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 83
E. Tagseth Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 15
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nashville SC 38.8% - market favourite
Draw 30.0% 100.0% draw risk
Club America 31.3% -
Total 2.5 Over 47.3% - Under 52.7%
Model check - - Difference 0.70
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.70

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
Rating 1,700 / 1,697 Nashville SC / Club America
RD 202 / 190 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 52.7%
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.20 45.5%
X 3.30 30.3%
3.30 30.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.22 45.1% 2.34 42.7% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.12 32.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.20 31.3% 2.65 37.7% 3.34 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.73 57.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Nashville SC
Founded 2020
Club America
Founded 1916
Match center
Nashville SC
D D W W
18.03 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 1:1 Inter MayamiInter Mayami
11.03 23:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 0:0 Inter MayamiInter Mayami
25.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 5:0 Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
18.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 2:0 Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.3 Conceded
8 Points
Club America
D W D W L
19.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 1:1 Filadelfiya YunionFiladelfiya Yunion
10.03 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 1:0 Filadelfiya YunionFiladelfiya Yunion
12.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 0:0 CD Olimpia
04.02 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 2:1 CD Olimpia
09.04 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 1:2 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.