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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
10.03.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Philadelphia Union - Club America

World Football
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
0 : 1
Finished
Club America
Club America

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Philadelphia Union - Club America March 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Philadelphia Union.

Line favourite market consensus: Philadelphia Union. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.18 / 2 2.81
  • 1X2 market: Philadelphia Union 37.8% / X 29.2% / Club America 33.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 37.8%
X 29.2%
2 33.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 44.5%
Under 2.5 55.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.03.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Philadelphia Union - Club America

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.81 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.77 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.52 39.7%
X 3.23 31.0%
2.91 34.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.45 40.8% 2.34 42.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.24 30.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.00 33.3%
2.88 34.7% 2.54 39.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.85 54.1% 2.05 48.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Philadelphia Union
W W
27.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Philadelphia Union 7:0 Defence Force
18.02 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Philadelphia Union 5:0 Defence Force
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Club America
D W L D W
12.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 0:0 CD Olimpia
04.02 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 2:1 CD Olimpia
09.04 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 1:2 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
02.04 01:15 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 0:0 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
13.03 02:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Club America 4:0 Guadalajara Chivas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points