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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
27.02.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Philadelphia Union - Defence Force

World Football
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
7 : 0
Finished
Defence Force
Defence Force

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Philadelphia Union - Defence Force February 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Philadelphia Union.

Line favourite market consensus: Philadelphia Union. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.03 / X 13.63 / 2 34.69
  • 1X2 market: Philadelphia Union 90.0% / X 7.0% / Defence Force 2.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 79.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 90.5%
X 6.8%
2 2.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.9%
Over 2.5 79.9%
Under 2.5 20.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.02.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Philadelphia Union - Defence Force

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.04 market consensus · line only
X 9.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 9.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.04 market consensus · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 7.83 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 4.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.05 95.2%
X 14.00 7.1%
24.00 4.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2%
X 15.50 6.5% 10.50 9.5% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 15.00 6.7% 14.00 7.1%
26.00 3.9% 20.00 5.0% 38.00 2.6% 56.00 1.8% 41.00 2.4% 24.00 4.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.52 65.8% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.73 57.8% 1.46 68.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.49 40.2% 2.49 40.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.49 40.2% 2.18 45.9% 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 9.50 10.5% 9.90 10.1% 8.50 11.8% 11.00 9.1% 10.00 10.0% 9.50 10.5%
home_away 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.00 100.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.00 100.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0%
Match center
Philadelphia Union
W
18.02 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Philadelphia Union 5:0 Defence Force
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Defence Force
L
18.02 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Defence Force 0:5 Filadelfiya YunionFiladelfiya Yunion
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhiladelphia Union - Defence Force

Philadelphia Union
1 matches total
Defence Force
Philadelphia Union: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Defence Force: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Filadelfiya Yunion 5:0 (18.02 23:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 18.02 23:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

18.02 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Filadelfiya Yunion
5:0
Defence Force