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CONCACAF Champions League World

16.04.2026 03:30 UTC Match prediction

16.04.2026 03:30 UTC

Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders - Tigres UANL

World Football

Stadium Lyumen Fild

Seattle Sounders

3 : 1

Finished

Tigres UANL

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Sounders - Tigres UANL April 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Seattle Sounders.

Line favourite market consensus: Seattle Sounders. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.20 / X 3.35 / 2 3.14
1X2 market: Seattle Sounders 42.4% / X 27.8% / Tigres UANL 29.8%
Glicko: Seattle Sounders - / X 100.0% / Tigres UANL -
Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%

1 42.4%

X 27.9%

2 29.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 49.6%

Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X

Agreement 3/4

Confidence 71.3%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center

Start 16.04.2026 03:30 UTC

Stadium Lyumen Fild (Sietl)

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Match center

Seattle Sounders - Tigres UANL

Seattle Sounders: Win 2.20 Seattle Sounders: Draw 3.40 Tigres UANL Win: 3.20 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.95 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.85 Individualnyy total golov Seattle Sounders bolshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Seattle Sounders menshe 1.5: 1.67 Ind…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:1

Events 15

Statistics 22

Lineups 45

min Event Player Team

11' 11' Normal Goal | A. Rusnák A. Rusnák Seattle Sounders

27' 27' Yellow Card | D. Lainez D. Lainez Tigres UANL

31' 31' Normal Goal Tigres UANL

46' 46' Substitution 1 | D. Lainez | assist/sub out: J. Purata D. Lainez Tigres UANL

46' 46' Substitution 1 | S. Brunell | assist/sub out: D. Musovski S. Brunell Seattle Sounders

48' 48' Normal Goal | D. Musovski | assist/sub out: J. Morris D. Musovski Seattle Sounders

71' 71' Substitution 2 | K. Kossa-Rienzi | assist/sub out: P. Arriola K. Kossa-Rienzi Seattle Sounders

76' 76' Yellow Card | D. Musovski D. Musovski Seattle Sounders

Metric Seattle Sounders Tigres UANL SStats

Zablokirovannye udary 7 2 final

Shots off target 9 2 final

Shots on target 4 6 final

Udary vsego 20 10 final

Fouls soversheno 16 8 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 3 final

Offsides 0 0 final

Ball possession, % 69 31 final

Seattle Sounders #5 N. Tolo, #7 C. Roldan, #13 J. Morris, #14 P. Rothrock, #24 S. Frei, #11 A. Rusnák, #25 J. Ragen, #37 S. Brunell, #9 J. Ferreira, #16 A. Roldan, #85 K. Kossa-Rienzi

Tigres UANL #1 N. Guzmán, #11 J. Brunetta, #17 Rodrigo Aguirre, #27 J. Angulo, #77 O. Herrera, #5 C. Araújo, #7 Á. Correa, #23 Rômulo, #16 D. Lainez, #28 Joaquim, #14 Jesus Garza

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Dribling popytki 1

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Edinoborstva vyigrano 7

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Seyvy 0

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders football.player.minutes_played 96

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Tochnost pasov % 1

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Klyuchevye pasy 67

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Reyting (staryy) 6.5

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Shots on target 1

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Perekhvaty 1

A. Roldan Seattle Sounders Otbory vsego 59

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Seattle Sounders 43.2% - market favourite

Draw 27.5% 100.0% draw risk

Tigres UANL 29.2% -

Total 2.5 Over 52.0% - Under 48.0%

Model check - - Difference 0.72

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.72

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

Rating 1,728 / 1,794 Seattle Sounders / Tigres UANL

RD 200 / 168 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.14 market consensus · line only

X 3.36 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.20 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.63 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.33 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.00 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.78 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 52.0%

Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 48.0%

Both teams to score

No 2.04 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.20 45.5%
X	3.40 29.4%
	3.25 30.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.22 45.1%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.22 45.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.36 29.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%
	3.00 33.3%	3.16 31.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.25 30.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.13 32.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet	William Hill
no	2.00 50.0%	2.06 48.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.16 46.3%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.68 59.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.38 72.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%

Match center

Seattle Sounders

Founded 2007

Tigres UANL

Founded 1960

Match center

Seattle Sounders

L W W L D

09.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders 0:2 Tigres UANL

19.03 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders 2:1 Vankuver Uaytkeps

13.03 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders 3:0 Vankuver Uaytkeps

12.03 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders 1:4 Cruz Azul

06.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Seattle Sounders 0:0 Cruz Azul

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Tigres UANL

W W L W D

09.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL 2:0 Sietl Saunders

20.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL 5:1 FC Cincinnati

13.03 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL 0:3 FC Cincinnati

11.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL 4:1 Forge

04.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL 0:0 Forge

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySeattle Sounders - Tigres UANL

Seattle Sounders

1 matches total

Tigres UANL

Seattle Sounders: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Tigres UANL: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Tigres UANL 0:2 (09.04 01:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 09.04 01:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

09.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League

Sietl Saunders

0:2

Tigres UANL

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.