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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
20.03.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL - FC Cincinnati

World Football
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
5 : 1
Finished
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigres UANL - FC Cincinnati March 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tigres UANL.

Line favourite market consensus: Tigres UANL. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.91 / 2 7.57
  • 1X2 market: Tigres UANL 68.5% / X 19.0% / FC Cincinnati 12.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 68.7%
X 19.0%
2 12.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.03.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

Tigres UANL - FC Cincinnati

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.59 market consensus · line only
X 4.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
X 5.23 19.1%
7.84 12.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.36 73.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9%
X 5.00 20.0% 4.55 22.0% 4.90 20.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 5.00 20.0%
7.40 13.5% 6.20 16.1% 8.15 12.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.25 12.1% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Tigres UANL
L W D L D
13.03 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:3 FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
11.02 03:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 4:1 Forge
04.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:0 Forge
02.05 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:1 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
24.04 02:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 1:1 Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
FC Cincinnati
W W W L D
13.03 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
FC Cincinnati 3:0 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
26.02 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
FC Cincinnati 9:0 Universidad O&M
19.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
FC Cincinnati 4:0 Universidad O&M
12.03 02:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
FC Cincinnati 1:3 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
04.03 23:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
FC Cincinnati 1:1 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigres UANL - FC Cincinnati

Tigres UANL
3 matches total
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
FC Cincinnati: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win FC Cincinnati 0:3 (13.03 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 12.03 02:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.03 23:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 4

Match history

13.03 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL
0:3
FC Cincinnati
12.03 02:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL
3:1
FC Cincinnati
04.03 23:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL
1:1
FC Cincinnati