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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
06.05.2026 01:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction
06.05.2026 01:30 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Tigres UANL - Nashville SC

World Football
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Finished
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Tigres UANL — 54%

1 · Tigres UANL54.5%
X · draw23.1%
2 · Nashville SC22.5%

Model estimate: win Tigres UANL 54.5%, draw 23.1%, win Nashville SC 22.5%. Model favourite — Tigres UANL.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tigres UANL - Nashville SC May 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tigres UANL.

Strongest: Tigres UANL - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.73 / 2 4.68
  • 1X2 market: Tigres UANL 55.0% / X 25.0% / Nashville SC 20.0%
  • Glicko: Tigres UANL 54.5% / X 23.1% / Nashville SC 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 55.1%
X 25.0%
2 19.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 6/6
Confidence 61.1%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 01:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tigres UANL 54%
💹 Market Tigres UANL 5502%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Tigres UANL - Nashville SC

Tigres UANL: ?????±?µ???° 1.80 Tigres UANL: ?????????? 3.80 ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ??°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ??? ????????? ??????¬? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????» ?????±?µ???°: 4.20 ???±?????? ???????°?» ?????»???? ?±???»?????µ 2.5: 1.95 ???±?????? ???????°?» ?????»???? ???µ???????µ 2.5: 1.85 ?????????????????°?»???????? ???????°?» ?????»???? Tigres UANL ?±???»?????µ 1.5: 1.83 ?????????????????°?»???????? ???????°?» ?????»???? Tigres UANL ???µ???????µ 1.5: 1.83 ?????????????????°?»???????? ???????°?» ????¦

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 13
Statistics 22
Lineups 43
min Event Player Team
14' 14' Substitution 1 | F. Gorriarán | assist/sub out: J. Vigón F. Gorriarán Tigres UANL
33' 33' Yellow Card | W. Madrigal W. Madrigal Nashville SC
36' 36' Yellow Card | J. Angulo J. Angulo Tigres UANL
39' 39' Yellow Card | Arafat Al Haj Tigres UANL
46' 46' Substitution 2 | M. Flores | assist/sub out: D. Sánchez M. Flores Tigres UANL
58' 58' Substitution 1 | A. Muyl | assist/sub out: W. Pacius A. Muyl Nashville SC
64' 64' Substitution 3 | Rodrigo Aguirre | assist/sub out: D. Lainez Rodrigo Aguirre Tigres UANL
68' 68' Normal Goal | J. Brunetta | assist/sub out: Á. Correa J. Brunetta Tigres UANL
Metric Tigres UANL Nashville SC SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.61 0.21 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 5 final
Shots off target 4 2 final
Shots on target 2 0 final
Udary vsego 8 7 final
Fouls soversheno 11 11 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 2 final
Offsides 1 3 final
Tigres UANL #1 N. Guzmán, #2 F. Reyes, #11 J. Brunetta, #20 M. Flores, #5 C. Araújo, #17 Rodrigo Aguirre, #27 J. Angulo, #7 Á. Correa, #8 F. Gorriarán, #23 Rômulo, #14 Jesus Garza
Nashville SC #6 B. Acosta, #19 A. Muyl, #27 R. Baker-Whiting, #41 W. Madrigal, #99 B. Schwake, #3 M. Woledzi, #7 C. Espinoza, #10 H. Mukhtar, #16 M. Corcoran, #4 J. Palacios, #31 A. Najar
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Muyl Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 58
A. Najar Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 78
A. Qasem Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 23
B. Acosta Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 69
B. Schwake Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 92
C. Espinoza Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 92
D. Lovitz Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 14
H. Mukhtar Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 92
J. Palacios Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 92
M. Corcoran Nashville SC football.player.minutes_played 92
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Tigres UANL 55.1% 54.5% market and model agree
Draw 25.4% 23.1% draw risk
Nashville SC 19.5% 22.5%
xG - 1.81 : 1.08
Total 2.5 Over 50.7% - Under 49.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.5% / 23.1% / 22.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,779 / 1,699 Tigres UANL / Nashville SC
RD 145 / 152 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
X 6.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 54.5%
Double chance
X2 2.09 market consensus · no value · model 45.5%
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 50.7%
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 49.3%
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.91 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.50 28.6%
4.65 21.5% 4.89 20.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
Over 1.75 — 1.38 72.5%
Over 2.0 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.68 59.5%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 3.5 3.20 31.3% —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% —
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5% —
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4% —
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% —
Match center
Tigres UANL
Founded 1960
Nashville SC
Founded 2020
Match center
Tigres UANL
W L W W L
29.04 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 1:0 NeshvillNeshvill
16.04 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 1:3 Sietl SaundersSietl Saunders
09.04 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 2:0 Sietl SaundersSietl Saunders
20.03 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 5:1 FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
13.03 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL 0:3 FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Nashville SC
L W D D D
29.04 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 0:1 Tigres UANLTigres UANL
15.04 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 1:0 Klub AmerikaKlub Amerika
08.04 00:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 0:0 Klub AmerikaKlub Amerika
18.03 23:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 1:1 Inter MayamiInter Mayami
11.03 23:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Nashville SC 0:0 Inter MayamiInter Mayami
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTigres UANL - Nashville SC

Tigres UANL
1 matches total
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Nashville SC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Tigres UANL 1:0 (29.04 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 29.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.04 00:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL
1:0
Neshvill
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.