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Start
09.04.2026 01:00 UTC
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09.04.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished
CONCACAF Champions League
Tigres UANL - Seattle Sounders
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Tigres UANL - Seattle Sounders April 9, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tigres UANL.
Line favourite market consensus: Tigres UANL. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.74 / 2 5.20
- 1X2 market: Tigres UANL 57.1% / X 24.9% / Seattle Sounders 18.0%
- Glicko: Tigres UANL - / X 100.0% / Seattle Sounders -
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.3%
1
57.2%
X
24.9%
2
17.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
3/4
Confidence
70.4%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:2
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Tigres UANL - Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL: Win 1.65 Tigres UANL: Draw 3.75 Seattle Sounders Win: 5.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.05 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.75 Individualnyy total golov Tigres UANL bolshe 1.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Tigres UANL menshe 1.5: 2.10 Individualnyy tot…
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
19
Statistics
22
Lineups
88
min
Event
Player
Team
21'
21' Yellow Card
Tigres UANL
43'
43' Substitution 1 | V. LoroG±a | assist/sub out: Joaquim
V. LoroG±a
Tigres UANL
45+2'
45+2' Yellow Card | N. Tolo
N. Tolo
Seattle Sounders
45+3'
45+3' Missed Penalty | Á. Correa | assist/sub out: Á. Correa
Á. Correa
Tigres UANL
51'
51' Normal Goal | O. Herrera
O. Herrera
Tigres UANL
57'
57' Yellow Card
Tigres UANL
58'
58' Yellow Card
Tigres UANL
59'
59' Yellow Card
Seattle Sounders
Metric
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
SStats
Zablokirovannye udary
8
1
final
Shots off target
10
1
final
Shots on target
4
2
final
Udary vsego
22
4
final
Fouls soversheno
18
13
final
Zheltye kartochki
3
3
final
Offsides
1
3
final
Ball possession, %
57
43
final
Tigres UANL
#5 N. Tolo, #7 C. Roldan, #11 A. Rusnák, #13 J. Morris, #14 P. Rothrock, #16 A. Roldan, #17 P. Arriola, #24 S. Frei, #25 J. Ragen, #37 S. Brunell, #85 K. Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
#1 N. GuzmGЎn, #5 C. AraGєjo, #7 GЃ. Correa, #8 F. GorriarGЎn, #14 Jesus Garza, #16 D. Lainez, #17 Rodrigo Aguirre, #23 RGґmulo, #27 J. Angulo, #32 V. LoroG±a, #77 O. Herrera
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Carrera
Seattle Sounders
Seyvy
0
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Dribling popytki
5
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Dribling uspeshno
9
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Edinoborstva vsego
1
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Edinoborstva vyigrano
13
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Fouls na igroke
3
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Seyvy
0
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Tochnost pasov %
3
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Klyuchevye pasy
30
Á. Correa
Seattle Sounders
Reyting (staryy)
6
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Tigres UANL
57.7%
-
market favourite
Draw
25.1%
100.0%
draw risk
Seattle Sounders
17.2%
-
Total 2.5
Over 54.4%
-
Under 45.6%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.75
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.75
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
Rating
1,728 / 1,829
Tigres UANL / Seattle Sounders
RD
182 / 229
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.20
market consensus · line only
X
3.74
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.63
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.27
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.71
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.70
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.45
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.99
market consensus · value +8.2% · model 54.4%
Under 2.5
1.81
market consensus · no value · model 45.6%
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.92
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.65 60.6% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% |
| 5.25 19.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.58 63.3% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.72 26.9% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.18 19.3% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.00 20.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.88 53.2% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.81 55.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.15 46.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% |
Match center
Tigres UANL
Founded
1960
Seattle Sounders
Founded
2007
Match center
Tigres UANL
W
L
W
D
L
Tigres UANL
5:1
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
0:3
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
4:1
Forge
Tigres UANL
0:0
Forge
Tigres UANL
0:1
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
Seattle Sounders
W
W
L
D
W
Seattle Sounders
2:1
Vankuver Uaytkeps
Vankuver Uaytkeps
Seattle Sounders
3:0
Vankuver Uaytkeps
Vankuver Uaytkeps
Seattle Sounders
1:4
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
Seattle Sounders
0:0
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
Seattle Sounders
3:1
Antigua GFC
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTigres UANL - Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form