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CONCACAF Champions League
CONCACAF Champions League World
19.03.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

CONCACAF Champions League

Toluca - San Diego

World Football
Toluca
Toluca
4 : 0
Finished
San Diego
San Diego

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toluca - San Diego March 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toluca.

Line favourite market consensus: Toluca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.88 / 2 10.82
  • 1X2 market: Toluca 77.5% / X 13.7% / San Diego 8.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 77.8%
X 13.6%
2 8.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 70.7%
Under 2.5 29.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.03.2026 03:00 UTC
Match center

Toluca - San Diego

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.94 market consensus · line only
1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 8.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.09 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.33 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.19 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.22 82.0%
X 7.72 13.0%
10.18 9.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.19 84.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.15 87.0%
X 6.80 14.7% 5.20 19.2% 7.10 14.1% 8.00 12.5% 7.40 13.5% 7.00 14.3%
11.50 8.7% 8.00 12.5% 12.50 8.0% 11.00 9.1% 12.50 8.0% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.33 23.1% 3.40 29.4%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Toluca
L
12.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluca 2:3 San-DiegoSan-Diego
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
San Diego
W L W
12.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
San Diego 3:2 TolukaToluka
11.02 01:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
San Diego 0:1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
04.02 04:00 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
San Diego 4:1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToluca - San Diego

Toluca
1 matches total
San Diego
Toluca: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
San Diego: 1 (100%)
Biggest win San-Diego 2:3 (12.03 03:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 12.03 03:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.03 03:30 UTC CONCACAF Champions League
Toluka
2:3
San-Diego