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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
18.02.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
18.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal

World Football
2 de Mayo
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Finished
Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting Cristal.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting Cristal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.73 / X 3.01 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: 2 de Mayo 34.1% / X 30.8% / Sporting Cristal 35.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 34.0%
X 30.9%
2 35.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 40.2%
Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.02.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

2 de Mayo - Sporting Cristal

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 2.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.85 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.74 36.5%
X 3.09 32.4%
2.77 36.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.90 34.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.79 35.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.95 33.9% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.55 39.2% 2.43 41.2% 2.78 36.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.46 68.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
2 de Mayo
D W
12.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 1:1 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
05.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
2 de Mayo 1:0 Alianza LimaAlianza Lima
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Sporting Cristal
L L W D L
29.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:6 PalmeirasPalmeiras
14.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:1 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
08.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:1 BolívarBolívar
25.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 2:2 Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
10.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Sporting Cristal 0:3 BolívarBolívar
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
4 Points