Match center
Start
06.05.2026 00:30 UTC
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06.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Group G. 4 round
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Always Ready - Lanus
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Always Ready - Lanus May 6, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Always Ready.
Line favourite market consensus: Always Ready. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.55 / 2 4.71
- 1X2 market: Always Ready 53.5% / X 26.5% / Lanus 20.0%
- Glicko: Always Ready - / X 100.0% / Lanus -
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.5%
1
53.6%
X
26.4%
2
19.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Glavnyy konsensus AI: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
4/5
Confidence
68.5%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:2
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Always Ready - Lanus
Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Olveys Redi - Lanus, 6 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group G. 4 round. Olveys Redi - Lanus, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
4:0
Events
17
Statistics
22
Lineups
46
min
Event
Player
Team
26'
26' Normal Goal | R. Gómez
R. Gómez
Always Ready
45'
45' Normal Goal | E. Triverio | assist/sub out: C. Rodriguez
E. Triverio
Always Ready
46'
46' Normal Goal | J. Amoroso | assist/sub out: J. Maraude
J. Amoroso
Always Ready
46'
46' Substitution 1 | M. Sepulveda | assist/sub out: D. Aquino
M. Sepúlveda
Lanus
62'
62' Substitution 1 | J. Amoroso | assist/sub out: F. Nava
J. Amoroso
Always Ready
63'
63' Substitution 3 | Marcelino Moreno | assist/sub out: F. N. Watson
M. Moreno
Lanus
63'
63' Substitution 2 | Marcelino Moreno | assist/sub out: F. N. Watson
M. Moreno
Lanus
64'
64' Yellow Card | D. Rodríguez
D. Rodriguez
Always Ready
Metric
Always Ready
Lanus
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
2.72
0.53
final
Zablokirovannye udary
2
1
final
Shots off target
12
2
final
Shots on target
10
4
final
Udary vsego
24
7
final
Fouls soversheno
16
6
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
1
final
Offsides
1
1
final
Always Ready
#1 A. Baroja, #9 E. Triverio, #10 J. Maraude, #13 H. Cuellar, #15 D. Rodriguez, #20 F. Saucedo, #21 A. Rambal, #19 D. Torrico, #22 R. Gómez, #7 J. Amoroso, #18 C. Rodríguez
Lanus
#6 S. Marcich, #11 E. Salvio, #23 R. Carrera, #26 N. Losada, #10 M. Moreno, #13 J. Canale, #30 A. Cardozo, #5 F. PeG±a, #24 C. Izquierdoz, #16 M. SepGєlveda, #33 T. Guidara
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Baroja
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
93
A. Rambal
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
93
E. Triverio
Always Ready
football.player.goals
1
E. Triverio
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
76
F. Saucedo
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
76
H. Cuellar
Always Ready
football.player.assists
1
H. Cuellar
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
93
J. Amoroso
Always Ready
football.player.goals
1
J. Amoroso
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
62
J. Godoy
Always Ready
football.player.minutes_played
17
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Always Ready
59.3%
-
market favourite
Draw
24.0%
100.0%
draw risk
Lanus
16.7%
-
Total 2.5
Over 61.7%
-
Under 38.3%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.76
Favourite-trap risk
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.76
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.65
market consensus · line only
X
5.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.19
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
2.04
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.56
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.48
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.25
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.12
market consensus · value +30.8% · model 61.7%
Under 2.5
1.70
market consensus · no value · model 38.3%
Both teams to score
No
1.74
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.98
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.76 56.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 4.70 21.3% | 4.94 20.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.90 20.4% | 4.60 21.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.87 53.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.43 69.9% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — |
Match center
Always Ready
Founded
1933
Lanus
Founded
1915
Match center
Always Ready
L
L
L
Always Ready
0:2
Mirassol
Mirassol
Always Ready
0:1
Lanus
Lanus
Always Ready
0:1
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
0
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
0
Points
Lanus
W
W
L
Lanus
1:0
LDU de Quito
LDU de Quito
Lanus
1:0
Always Ready
Always Ready
Lanus
0:1
Mirassol
Mirassol
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.7
Scored
0.3
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlways Ready - Lanus
Always Ready
1
matches total
Always Ready: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lanus: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Lanus 0:1 (16.04 22:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 16.04 22:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Always Ready
0:1
Lanus
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Always Ready
Team 2
Lanus
Always Ready
Team comparison
Lanus
3
Games
3
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
0
Scored
2
4
Conceded
1
0
Points
6
0
Attacks
0
0
Dangerous attacks
0
0
Big chances
0
0
Shots on goal
0
3.33
Shots on target
3.67
Olveys Redi Lanus 3 Games 3 0 Wins 2 0 Draws 0 3 Losses 1 0 Scored 2 4 Conceded 1 0 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 3.33 Udary v stvor 3.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5 Uglovye 8.33 2.33 Offsaydy 0.33 11 Foly 7.67 48.67 % vladeniya myachom 59.67 3 Warnings 1.67 0.33 Sendoffs 0.33 Goly Richet Gomes Gektor Kuelyar 1:0 26' Enrike Triverio Carlitos Rodriguez 2:0 45' Joel Amoroso Khesus Maraude 3:0 46' Marselo Suares Fernando Nava 4:0 89' Nezabitye penalti Fernando Sausedo 13' Nakazaniya Dieguito Rodriguez 64' Dario Torrico 74' Agustin Medina 83'
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form