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Start
08.04.2026 00:00 UTC
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08.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Always Ready - LDU de Quito
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Always Ready - LDU de Quito April 8, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Always Ready.
Line favourite market consensus: Always Ready. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.44 / 2 3.09
- 1X2 market: Always Ready 42.3% / X 27.3% / LDU de Quito 30.4%
- Glicko: Always Ready - / X 100.0% / LDU de Quito -
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.5%
1
42.3%
X
27.3%
2
30.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: X
Main outcome
X
Agreement
3/4
Confidence
71.8%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:1
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
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Match center
Always Ready - LDU de Quito
Always Ready: Win 2.20 Always Ready: Draw 3.60 LDU de Quito Win: 3.10 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.85 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.95 Individualnyy total golov Always Ready bolshe 1.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Always Ready menshe 1.5: 1.73 Individualnyy tot…
Form
0/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
5
Statistics
24
Lineups
36
min
Event
Player
Team
43'
43' Yellow Card | J. Baldivieso
Always Ready
44'
44' Yellow Card | Rai Lima
Always Ready
45+1'
45+1' Yellow Card | Leonel QuiG±Gіnez
Rayan Kolbi
LDU de Quito
55'
55' Substitution 1 | F. Nava | assist/sub out: J. Maraude
Always Ready
55'
55' Substitution 2 | Yhormar Hurtado | assist/sub out: C. Rodriguez
Raphael Pucinelli de Almeida
Always Ready
Metric
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
0.6
1.66
final
Zablokirovannye udary
4
5
final
Shots off target
12
8
final
Shots on target
5
2
final
Udary vsego
21
15
final
Fouls soversheno
12
9
final
Zheltye kartochki
3
4
final
Offsides
4
1
final
Always Ready
#1 Gonzalo Valle, #3 Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo, #8 J. Pretell, #13 J. Corozo, #14 JosG© Alfredo Quintero OrdGіG±ez, #15 G. VillamGl, #16 Deyverson, #20 F. Cornejo, #23 Y. Quinonez, #33 Leonel Enrique QuiG±Gіnez Padilla, #44 Luis Segovia
LDU de Quito
#1 A. Baroja, #6 R. Lima, #7 J. Amoroso, #9 E. Triverio, #13 H. Cuellar, #21 A. Rambal, #23 J. Godoy, #27 Y. Hurtado
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
Carlitos Rodriguez
Dribling popytki
1
Carlitos Rodriguez
Edinoborstva vsego
2
Carlitos Rodriguez
Edinoborstva vyigrano
3
Carlitos Rodriguez
Fouls soversheno
1
Carlitos Rodriguez
Seyvy
0
Carlitos Rodriguez
football.player.minutes_played
43
Carlitos Rodriguez
Tochnost pasov %
2
Carlitos Rodriguez
Klyuchevye pasy
13
Carlitos Rodriguez
Reyting (staryy)
6.7
Carlitos Rodriguez
Otbory vsego
11
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Always Ready
40.7%
-
market favourite
Draw
28.8%
100.0%
draw risk
LDU de Quito
30.5%
-
Total 2.5
Over 56.6%
-
Under 43.4%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.71
Draw-trap risk
Favourite-trap risk
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.71
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.09
market consensus · line only
X
3.45
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.22
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.65
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.35
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.30
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.95
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.16
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · weak value +4.7% · model 56.6%
Under 2.5
1.94
market consensus · no value · model 43.4%
Both teams to score
No
2.09
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.67
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% |
| 3.10 32.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.45 29.0% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.48 28.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 3.25 30.8% | 2.86 35.0% | 3.22 31.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.69 59.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% |
Match center
Always Ready
Founded
1933
LDU de Quito
Founded
1930
Match center
LDU de Quito
L
W
W
W
W
LDU de Quito
0:4
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
LDU de Quito
3:0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
LDU de Quito
1:0
Sao Paulo
LDU de Quito
2:0
Sao Paulo
LDU de Quito
2:0
Botafogo
Botafogo
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlways Ready - LDU de Quito
Always Ready
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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The Always Ready - LDU de Quito breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form