Match center
Start
25.09.2024 22:00 UTC
25.09.2024 22:00 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG - Fluminense
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico-MG - Fluminense 25 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico-MG.
Line favourite market consensus: Atletico-MG. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.62 / 2 5.89
- 1X2 market: Atletico-MG 57.0% / X 26.6% / Fluminense 16.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.8%
1
57.0%
X
26.6%
2
16.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atletico-MG - Fluminense
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.89
market consensus · line only
X
3.62
market consensus · line only
1
1.69
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.17
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.69 59.2% |
| Х | 3.62 27.6% |
| П2 | 5.89 17.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.34 42.7% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.24 80.7% |
| П2 | 4.31 23.2% |
Match center
Atletico-MG
L
Atletico-MG
0:1
Fluminense
Fluminense
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Fluminense
W
Fluminense
1:0
Atletico-MG
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico-MG - Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
matches total
Atletico-MG: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fluminense: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Fluminense 0:1 (18.09 22:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 18.09 22:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Atletico-MG
0:1
Fluminense