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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
23.10.2024 00:30 UTC Match prediction
23.10.2024 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Atletico-MG - River Plate

World Futbol
Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG
3 : 0
Finished
River Plate
River Plate

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico-MG - River Plate 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico-MG.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico-MG. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 2.79 / 2 3.68
  • 1X2 market: Atletico-MG 39.0% / X 34.7% / River Plate 26.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 39.0%
X 34.7%
2 26.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 00:30 UTC
Match center

Atletico-MG - River Plate

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.68 market consensus · line only
X 2.79 market consensus · line only
1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.48 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 2.79 35.8%
П2 3.68 27.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.48 67.6%
home_draw 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.69 59.2%
ТМ 1.5 2.27 44.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.60 62.5%
П2 2.42 41.3%
Match center
Atletico-MG
W L
25.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG 2:0 FluminenseFluminense
18.09 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Atletico-MG 0:1 FluminenseFluminense
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
River Plate
W D
25.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:0 Colo Colo
18.09 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
River Plate 1:1 Colo Colo
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico-MG - River Plate

Atletico-MG
0 matches total
River Plate
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history