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CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores World
04.03.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction
04.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Barcelona SC - Botafogo

World Football
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Finished
Botafogo
Botafogo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Barcelona SC - Botafogo March 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona SC.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona SC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.59 / X 3.02 / 2 2.82
  • 1X2 market: Barcelona SC 36.0% / X 30.9% / Botafogo 33.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 36.0%
X 30.9%
2 33.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 38.9%
Under 2.5 61.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.03.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center

Barcelona SC - Botafogo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.02 market consensus · line only
1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.03 33.0%
2.94 34.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.56 39.1% 2.43 41.2% 2.66 37.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.84 35.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.92 34.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Barcelona SC
W L L L L
26.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Barcelona SC 1:0 Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Barcelona SC 0:1 Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Barcelona SC 1:2 Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
15.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Barcelona SC 0:1 UniversitarioUniversitario
09.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Barcelona SC 2:3 River Plate
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Botafogo
W L L W W
26.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 2:0 Nacional Potosí
19.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 0:1 Nacional Potosí
21.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 0:2 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
14.08 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
28.05 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo 1:0 Universidad de Chile
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBarcelona SC - Botafogo

Barcelona SC
0 matches total
Botafogo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history