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CONMEBOL Libertadores World

Group D. 5 round 20.05.2026 00:30 UTC Match prediction

20.05.2026 00:30 UTC Group D. 5 round

Finished

CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro

World Football

Boca Juniors

1 : 1

Finished

Cruzeiro

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro May 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boca Juniors.

Line favourite market consensus: Boca Juniors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.12 / 2 4.34
1X2 market: Boca Juniors 48.2% / X 30.1% / Cruzeiro 21.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4%

1 48.2%

X 30.1%

2 21.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 37.0%

Under 2.5 63.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.05.2026 00:30 UTC

Match center

Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Boka Khuniors - Kruzeyro, 20 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Cup Libertadores 2026, Group D. 5 round. Boka Khuniors - Kruzeyro, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/4 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.35 Fonbet · line only

1 3.45 Fonbet · line only

2 4.34 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 3.00 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 10.00 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 5.20 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.93 51.8%	1.97 50.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%
X	3.40 29.4%	3.18 31.5%	2.90 34.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.10 32.3%
	3.90 25.6%	4.52 22.1%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%	4.65 21.5%	4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	1.65 60.6%	1.61 62.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.62 61.7%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%	2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.09 91.7%	1.07 93.5%
Over 0.75	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 1.0	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.25	—	1.32 75.8%
Over 1.5	1.48 67.6%	1.55 64.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.62 61.7%
Over 2.0	—	1.85 54.1%
Over 2.25	—	2.27 44.1%
Over 2.5	2.45 40.8%	—
Over 3.5	4.75 21.1%	—
Over 4.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 0.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 1.5	2.60 38.5%	—
Under 2.5	1.53 65.4%	—
Under 3.5	1.18 84.8%	—
Under 4.5	1.05 95.2%	—

Match center

Boca Juniors

L L W W W

06.05 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors 0:1 Barcelona SC

29.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors 0:1 Cruzeiro

15.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors 3:0 Barcelona SC

08.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors 2:1 U. Catolica

26.02 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors 2:1 Alianza Lima

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Cruzeiro

D W L W

07.05 02:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 0:0 U. Catolica

29.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:0 Boca Juniors

15.04 22:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:2 U. Catolica

08.04 00:00 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Cruzeiro 1:0 Barcelona SC

2 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.5 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBoca Juniors - Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors

1 matches total

Cruzeiro

Boca Juniors: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Cruzeiro: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Cruzeiro 0:1 (29.04 00:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 29.04 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.04 00:30 UTC CONMEBOL Libertadores

Boca Juniors

0:1

Cruzeiro

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Boca Juniors

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Cruzeiro

4 Games 4

2 Wins 2

0 Draws 1

2 Losses 1

5 Scored 3

3 Conceded 2

6 Points 7

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 11

4.25 Shots on target 2

3.25 0.5 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Migel Merentel 1:0 15' Lemos Konserva Fagner Kayki 1 55' Nakazaniya Lemos Konserva Fagner 47' Zherson 68' Ayrton Kosta 73' Esekel Sebalos 83' Neyser Vilyarreal 90+7'

Boka Khuniors Kruzeyro 4 Games 4 2 Wins 2 0 Draws 1 2 Losses 1 5 Scored 3 Conceded 2 6 Points 7 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 11 4.25 Udary v stvor 2 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3 Uglovye 2.25 2.75 Offsaydy 1 11.5 Foly 8.25 50 % vladeniya myachom 54.25 2.75 Warnings 3.25 0.5 Sendoffs 0.25 Goly Migel Merentel 1:0 15' Lemos Konserva Fagner Kayki 1 55' Nakazaniya Lemos Konserva Fagner 47' Zherson 68' Ayrton Kosta 73' Esekel Sebalos 83' Neyser Vilyarreal 90+7'