LOW
Total goals: Over 1.5
odds 1.70
hist. ROI +0.0%
Over 1.5 (stabilno zabivayut)
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29.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Boca Juniors - U. Catolica
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Boca Juniors - U. Catolica May 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boca Juniors.
Line favourite market consensus: Boca Juniors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.09 / 2 6.63
- 1X2 market: Boca Juniors 62.9% / X 22.9% / U. Catolica 14.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.6%
1
62.9%
X
22.9%
2
14.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Boca Juniors
Main outcome
Boca Juniors
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
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Match center
Start
29.05.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center
Boca Juniors - U. Catolica
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
14
Statistics
22
Lineups
46
min
Event
Player
Team
34'
34' Normal Goal | C. Montes
C. Montes
U. Catolica
35'
35' Yellow Card | C. Cuevas
C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
46'
46' Substitution 1 | Ander Herrera | assist/sub out: A. Velasco
Ander Herrera
Boca Juniors
54'
54' Yellow Card | F. Zampedri
F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
56'
56' Yellow Card | M. Delgado
M. Delgado
Boca Juniors
63'
63' Substitution 2 | Marco Pellegrino | assist/sub out: Á. Romero
Marco Pellegrino
Boca Juniors
74'
74' Substitution 1 | J. A. Martinez | assist/sub out: D. Gonzalez
J. A. Martinez
U. Catolica
74'
74' Substitution 2 | C. Cuevas | assist/sub out: A. Farias
C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
Metric
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.63
0.07
final
Zablokirovannye udary
8
0
final
Shots off target
12
1
final
Shots on target
2
1
final
Udary vsego
22
2
final
Fouls soversheno
6
16
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
2
final
Offsides
2
0
final
Boca Juniors
#3 L. Blanco, #9 M. Giménez, #12 L. Brey, #36 T. Aranda, #7 E. Zeballos, #21 Ander Herrera, #26 Marco Pellegrino, #2 L. Di Lollo, #5 L. Paredes, #18 M. Delgado, #27 M. Braida
U. Catolica
#1 Vicente Bernedo, #3 E. Mena, #9 F. Zampedri, #15 C. Cuevas, #20 J. Valencia, #14 J. A. Martinez, #26 J. Diaz, #8 F. Zuqui, #19 B. Ampuero, #6 Sebastián Arancibia, #11 C. Montes
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
Á. Romero
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
34
A. Velasco
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
52
Ander Herrera
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
45
E. Zeballos
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
L. Blanco
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
L. Brey
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
L. Di Lollo
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
L. Paredes
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
M. Braida
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
M. Delgado
Boca Juniors
football.player.minutes_played
97
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.16
Fonbet · line only
X
3.45
Fonbet · line only
1
1.49
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.30
Fonbet · line only
1X
4.50
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.02
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
5.20
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.03
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.06
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.49 67.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.47 68.0% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.16 24.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 6.75 14.8% | 6.68 15.0% | 6.00 16.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.50 15.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Unibet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.55 39.2% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.60 38.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.10 90.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — |
Match center
Boca Juniors
D
L
L
W
W
Boca Juniors
1:1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
0:1
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0:1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
3:0
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
2:1
U. Catolica
U. Catolica
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
U. Catolica
W
D
W
W
L
U. Catolica
2:0
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0:0
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
2:1
Barcelona SC
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
2:1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1:2
Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBoca Juniors - U. Catolica
Boca Juniors
1
matches total
Boca Juniors: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
U. Catolica: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Boca Juniors 2:1 (08.04 00:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 08.04 00:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Boca Juniors
2:1
U. Catolica
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